Forces Behind Interest Rates
An interest rate is the cost of borrowing money. Or, on the other side of the coin, it is the compensation for the service and risk of lending money. Without it, people would not be willing to lend or even save their cash, both of which require a deferment of the opportunity to give up spending in the present. But prevailing interest rates are always changing and different types of loans will offer various interest rates. If you are a lender, a borrower or both, it's important you understand the reasons for these changes and differences.
Lenders and Borrowers
The lender of money is taking a risk that the borrower may not payback the loan. Thus, interest provides also a certain compensation for bearing risk. Coupled with the risk of default is the risk of inflation. When you lend money now, the prices of goods and services may go up by the time you are paid back your money, whose original purchasing power would have decreased. Thus, interest protects against future rises in inflation. A lender such as a bank uses the interest to process account costs as well.
The borrowers pay interest because they must pay a price for gaining the ability to spend now as opposed to having to wait years and years to save up enough money. For example, a person or family may take out a mortgage for a house for which they cannot presently pay in full, but the loan allows them to become homeowners now instead of far into the future. Businesses also borrow for future profit. They may borrow now to buy equipment so they can begin earning those revenues today. Banks also borrow in order to increase their activities, whether lending or investing, and pay interest to clients for this service.
Interest can thus be considered a cost for one entity and income for another. Interest is the opportunity cost of keeping your money as cash under your mattress as opposed to lending. If you borrow money, then the interest you have to pay is less than the cost of forgoing the opportunity to have the money in the present.
How Interest Rates are Determined
Types of Loans
Of the factors detailed above, supply and demand are, as we implied earlier, the primary forces behind interest rate levels. The interest rate on each different type of loan, however, depends on the credit risk (which is discussed in detail in the articles What Is A Corporate Credit Rating? and Corporate Bonds: An Introduction To Credit Risk), time, tax considerations (particularly in the U.S.) and convertibility of the particular loan.
Risk refers to the likelihood of the loan being repaid. The bigger the chance of the loan not being repaid will lead to higher interest rate levels. If, however, the loan is "secured", meaning there is some sort of collateral that the lender will acquire in case the loan is not paid back (i.e. such as a car or a house), the rate of interest will probably be lower. This is because the risk factor is accounted for by the collateral.
For government-issued debt securities, there is of course very little risk because the borrower is the government. For this reason and because the interest is tax-free, the rate on treasury securities tends to be relatively low.
Time is also a factor of risk. Long-term loans have a greater chance of not being repaid because there is more time for adversity that leads to default. Also, the face value of a long-term loan, compared to that of a short-term loan, is more vulnerable to the effects of inflation. Therefore, the longer the borrower has to repay the loan, the more interest the lender should receive.
Finally, some loans that can be converted back into money quickly will lose little if any loss on the principal loaned out. These loans usually carry relatively lower interest rates.
Conclusion
As interest rates are a major factor of the income you can earn by lending money, of bond pricing,and of the amount you will have to pay to borrow money, it is important you understand how prevailing interest rates change: primarily by the forces of supply and demand, which are also affected by inflation and monetary policy. Of course, when you are deciding on investing in a debt security, it is important you understand how its characteristics determine what kind of interest rate you can receive. (If you are interested in learning how to calculate simple and compound interest, please see the article Understanding The Time Value Of Money.)
Lenders and Borrowers
The lender of money is taking a risk that the borrower may not payback the loan. Thus, interest provides also a certain compensation for bearing risk. Coupled with the risk of default is the risk of inflation. When you lend money now, the prices of goods and services may go up by the time you are paid back your money, whose original purchasing power would have decreased. Thus, interest protects against future rises in inflation. A lender such as a bank uses the interest to process account costs as well.
The borrowers pay interest because they must pay a price for gaining the ability to spend now as opposed to having to wait years and years to save up enough money. For example, a person or family may take out a mortgage for a house for which they cannot presently pay in full, but the loan allows them to become homeowners now instead of far into the future. Businesses also borrow for future profit. They may borrow now to buy equipment so they can begin earning those revenues today. Banks also borrow in order to increase their activities, whether lending or investing, and pay interest to clients for this service.
Interest can thus be considered a cost for one entity and income for another. Interest is the opportunity cost of keeping your money as cash under your mattress as opposed to lending. If you borrow money, then the interest you have to pay is less than the cost of forgoing the opportunity to have the money in the present.
Supply and Demand Interest rate levels are a factor of the supply and demand of credit: an increase in the demand for credit will raise interest rates, while a decrease in the demand for credit will decrease them. Conversely, an increase in the supply of credit will reduce interest rates while a decrease in the supply of credit will increase them. (To brush up on supply and demand relationships, see this tutorial on economics basics.) The supply of credit is increased by an increase in the amount of money made available to borrowers. For example, when you open a bank account, you are actually lending money to the bank. Depending on the kind of account you open (a certificate of deposit will render a higher interest rate than a checking account, with which you have the ability to access the funds at anytime), the bank can use that money for its business and investment activities. In other words the bank can lend out that money to other customers. The more banks can lend, the more credit there is available to the economy. And as the supply of credit increases, the price of borrowing (interest) decreases. Credit available to the economy is decreased as lenders decide to defer the re-payment of their loans. For instance, when you decide to postpone paying this month\'s credit card bill until next month or even later, you are not only increasing the amount of interest you will have to pay, but also decreasing the amount of credit available in the market. This in turn will increase the interest rates in the economy. Inflation Inflation will also affect interest rate levels. The higher the rate of inflation, the more interest rates are likely to rise. This occurs because lenders will demand higher interest rates as compensation for the decrease in the purchasing power of the money they will be repaid in the future. Government The government has a say in how interest rates are affected. The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) often comes with out announcements about how monetary policy will affect interest rates. The federal funds rate, or the rate that institutions charge each other for extremely short-term loans, affects the interest rate that banks set on the money they lend; the rate then eventually trickles down into other short-term lending rates. The Fed influences these rates by the use of "open market transactions", which is basically the buying or selling of previously issued U.S. securities. When the government buys more securities, banks are injected with more money than they can use for lending, and the interest rates then decrease. When the government sells securities, money from the banks is drained for the transaction, rendering less funds at the banks\' disposal for lending, forcing a rise in interest rates. |
Types of Loans
Of the factors detailed above, supply and demand are, as we implied earlier, the primary forces behind interest rate levels. The interest rate on each different type of loan, however, depends on the credit risk (which is discussed in detail in the articles What Is A Corporate Credit Rating? and Corporate Bonds: An Introduction To Credit Risk), time, tax considerations (particularly in the U.S.) and convertibility of the particular loan.
Risk refers to the likelihood of the loan being repaid. The bigger the chance of the loan not being repaid will lead to higher interest rate levels. If, however, the loan is "secured", meaning there is some sort of collateral that the lender will acquire in case the loan is not paid back (i.e. such as a car or a house), the rate of interest will probably be lower. This is because the risk factor is accounted for by the collateral.
For government-issued debt securities, there is of course very little risk because the borrower is the government. For this reason and because the interest is tax-free, the rate on treasury securities tends to be relatively low.
Time is also a factor of risk. Long-term loans have a greater chance of not being repaid because there is more time for adversity that leads to default. Also, the face value of a long-term loan, compared to that of a short-term loan, is more vulnerable to the effects of inflation. Therefore, the longer the borrower has to repay the loan, the more interest the lender should receive.
Finally, some loans that can be converted back into money quickly will lose little if any loss on the principal loaned out. These loans usually carry relatively lower interest rates.
Conclusion
As interest rates are a major factor of the income you can earn by lending money, of bond pricing,and of the amount you will have to pay to borrow money, it is important you understand how prevailing interest rates change: primarily by the forces of supply and demand, which are also affected by inflation and monetary policy. Of course, when you are deciding on investing in a debt security, it is important you understand how its characteristics determine what kind of interest rate you can receive. (If you are interested in learning how to calculate simple and compound interest, please see the article Understanding The Time Value Of Money.)
