Economics Articles

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  1. Is the Fed Trying to Minimize the Next Stock Market Crash?

    Find out why the Federal Reserve wants to retroactively alter qualified financial contracts between big banks and investment ...
  2. 3 Industries That Benefit from Low Interest Rates (LEN,EXPE,NFLX)

    The industries that benefit the most from low interest rates are home builders and home-improvement retailers; the consumer ...
  3. Why the Wealth Effect Is Decelerating

    Discover why the Dallas Fed believes the wealth effect shrunk after the Great Recession, and why the wealth effect might ...
  4. Early Innings of a Multiyear Investment Opportunity?

    We provide our outlook for both traditional distressed and more niche credit strategies, and assess the opportunities managers ...
  5. Are TIPS a Good Buy Right Now?

    TIPS are trading at a big discount making this a good time to get into these instruments for those who believe that inflation ...
  6. Global Utilities: Exploring Revenue Trends & Fundamentals

    Analyze global revenue exposure in the utilities sector to learn about the impact of currency, regulation and economic growth ...
  7. Chart of the Week: Why It’s Time for Caution?

    This week’s chart helps illustrate why we’re taking a more cautious view of global equities over the near term.
  8. Italy Economics: 4 Troubling Similarities to Greece

    Learn about the similarities and differences between the economic woes of Italy and Greece, and get some statistics and economic ...
  9. Event-Driven Equity – Hedge Fund Crowding Overshadows

    Learn why selling pressure from several large hedge funds has led to meaningful underperformance in more heavily trafficked ...
  10. 3 Reasons Not to Give Up on China (yet)

    Negative sentiment has focused on China’s debt level, slowing growth and sluggish implementation of reforms. But there are ...
  11. Growth in Australia? 3 Thoughts from PIMCO

    Learn how Australia avoided recession after the global financial crisis. Discover PIMCO's thoughts on Australia's growth ...
  12. High-Yield Bond ETFs: 3 Reasons to Avoid Them

    Examine high-yield bond performance in 2016. Why do rising default rates, falling recovery rates and Fed rate hikes make ...
  13. Spain's Economics: 3 Troubling Similarities to Greece

    Discover why the Spanish economy continues to suffer from devastating unemployment figures, and why a serious approach to ...
  14. Deflation and Debt: Is the United States the New Japan?

    Discover how mainstream macroeconomics has failed Japan and why the United States should take care to avoid Japan's borrow, ...
  15. TIPS: Deflated Expectations, Inflated Opportunity?

    Prices for U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) suggest inflation will be the same over the next 10 years ...
  16. The Share Buyback Report: The Consumer Discretionary Sector (XLY)

    Analyze historical share repurchase data for the discretionary sector and identify the financial and economic factors that ...
  17. Insights Into Robert Schiller's Recession Studies

    Find out what Professor Robert Shiller of Yale University has to say about recessions, what causes them and why human psychology ...
  18. Microeconomics vs. Macroeconomics: Which Is More Useful for Investment?

    Find out why investors are better off ignoring macroeconomic forecasts, and should instead focus on the lessons that microeconomics ...
  19. Why Low Oil Prices Don't Always Mean Low Gas Prices

    Find out why gasoline prices do not always decline with oil prices. Learn about the impact of the refining process, taxes ...
  20. How Interest Rates Work On A Mortgage

    A step-by-step explanation of the interest calculations, mortgage types, and how the loan is eventually "retired" – which ...
  21. Global Energy: Exploring Revenue Trends & Fundamentals

    Examine global energy sector revenue data by country and region, and identify geographical trends and analyze forecasts related ...
  22. A Dollar That Stays Within the Lines

    Find out how a range-bound U.S. dollar could contribute to a renewed focus on company and sector fundamentals.
  23. Energy, Economics, Environment and Exuberance

    Learn why recent news from the coal and solar industries suggest that knowledge is power.
  24. Why Earnings Results Have Not Mattered to the U.S. Equity Markets

    Discover why the U.S. stock market is probably in an asset bubble, how stock prices became detached from the fundamentals ...
  25. How the Bank of Japan Now Owns 90% of the Top 10 Stocks (BOJ)

    Discover how the Bank of Japan ended up as a top 10 shareholder in 200 of the 225 companies listed on the Nikkei 225 stock ...
  26. France Economics: 4 Troubling Similarities to Greece

    Learn about the similarities and differences between the economic woes of France and Greece, and get some statistics and ...
  27. Japan's Case Study: Diminished Effects on QE

    Examine more than 25 years of Japanese expansionary policy, both fiscal and monetary, to see why quantitative easing hasn't ...
  28. Chart of the Week: Is Deflation Dead?

    U.S. deflation is no longer an imminent risk. This week’s chart helps illustrate why.
  29. The Best 2 ETFs for a Rate Hike (XLF,UUP)

    These two ETFs have potential to move higher if the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates.
  30. Why $15 Minimum Wage Might Not Be Good News for Anyone (MCD, DPZ)

    Discover why the minimum wage isn't the panacea it is made out to be, and how artificial wage increases strain businesses ...
  31. Minimum Wage Increase: Will Technology Help Margins for U.S. Companies? (MCD, MSFT)

    Discover why the $15 per hour minimum wage movement may unintentionally be sowing the seeds for a new crop of jobs-stealing ...
  32. How the Credit Market Impacts the Stock Market

    Discover why some analysts believe stock market prices are actually driven by demand for yields in credit markets, and why ...
  33. Why Inflation Feels Higher Than the Fed's Target Rate

    Follow the monthly readings on core PCE inflation in the Personal Income and Outlays reports to understand the Federal Reserve's ...
  34. What Druckenmiller Is Saying About the U.S. Pension System

    Assess the sustainability of the Social Security system in the United States based on Stanley Druckenmiller's warnings. How ...
  35. Global Consumer Services: Exploring Revenue Trends & Fundamentals

    Examine global consumer service revenue data to determine which countries and regions have the most exposure. Identify trends ...
  36. Seriously, What is Helicopter Money?

    Helicopter money is making waves amid zero and negative interest rates prevailing in major economies. Here’s how it works.
  37. Why the Stock Market Isn't Affected by Slow GDP Growth

    Learn how the stock market reached new levels in the years following the financial crisis, even though U.S. economic conditions ...
  38. Is the Eurozone Recovery for Real?

    Is the eurozone’s consumption-led growth uptick sustainable? We took some of the firm’s most senior portfolio managers to ...
  39. Global Industrial Services: Exploring Revenue Trends & Fundamentals

    Analyze geographical industrial service sector data to determine which factors influence revenue exposure by country and ...
  40. Are These the Golden Days for Gold?

    Given an environment of low and even negative yields, slow growth and potential signs of rising inflation, Russ discusses ...
  41. An Underappreciated Trend Supporting European Stocks

    This week’s chart focuses on an underappreciated trend that supports the case for European stocks: The European consumer ...
  42. The Europe Behind the Headlines

    April was far from the cruelest month for investors. Most will have felt sentiment improve behind equities, high-yield bonds, ...
  43. The Challenge the Fed Faces (in 2 Powerful Charts)

    The Fed faces a big challenge as it seeks to raise interest rates this year: The central bank already missed the “window ...
  44. 3 Things You Should Know About Factor Investing

    Learn about factor strategies in data and technology to give all investors access to time-tested investment ideas, once only ...
  45. The Surprising Force Behind Gold’s Rally

    Gold has shown resilience to dropping prices compared to other commodities, and has regained its status as a “safe haven” ...
  46. Global Retail Trade: Exploring Revenue Trends & Fundamentals

    Explore data on global geographical retail sector revenue exposure, and identify factors driving retail consumption and trends ...
  47. PIMCO Report: 3 Thoughts on Recession

    Find out what PIMCO's March 2016 Macro Perspectives report says about the likelihood of recession in 2016 and the years thereafter.
  48. To Correctly Predict the Fed’s Policy Path, Watch This

    The Federal Reserve (Fed) left policy unchanged last week, continuing a “wait-and-see” approach appropriate for today’s global ...
  49. How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bond

    Though U.S. Treasuries are not as expensive as government bonds, U.S. bonds are offering a relatively paltry real return, ...
  50. Global Industrial Services: 3 Key Industry Players (ETE, 601668)

    Obtain a better understanding of the key global companies within the industrial services sector, and which goods and services ...
  51. PIMCO Report: 4 Views on the 2016 Market and Beyond

    Learn about PIMCO's outlook for capital markets in 2016, and find out which factors will dominate investment strategies in ...
  52. Tempted by Fallen Angels

    As a swathe of the commodities sector is stripped of its investment-grade ratings a few gems will inevitably get caught in ...
  53. Is The TPP Dead?

    The TPP isn’t officially dead, but it has been convicted in the court of public opinion and is waiting on death row.
  54. Ray Dalio Report: The Economic Machine and Where We Are Now

    See why hedge fund manager Ray Dalio thinks he's figured out business cycles and why the simplest answer might not always ...
  55. Can Japanese Stocks Rise Again?

    This week’s chart shows how Japanese companies’ inflation expectations have been steadily declining in recent quarters, amid ...
  56. A Handy Tool for Comparing Sovereign Credit Risk

    Sovereign debt is not “risk free.” In reality, sovereigns never were devoid of credit risk, but the probability of capital ...
  57. Did We Reach a Ceiling to Fuel Growth by Borrowing?

    Find out how years of low interest rates and high borrowing have left the world economy with anemic growth and unprecedented ...
  58. Diversification Pays While Low Inflation Stays

    Find out why neither rising rates nor rising defaults would spell the end of opportunistic, diversified fixed income.
  59. How the Weapons Trade is Killing It in the U.S. (RTN, LMT)

    Find out the reasons why the weapons trade is expanding abroad and in the United States, and what it means for U.S. defense ...
  60. Ireland Economics: 3 Troubling Similarities to Greece

    Discover how recent political changes in Ireland could compromise years of balance sheet improvements and economic growth, ...
  61. Negative Interest Rates: Would Americans Spend More?

    Find out why the experimental negative interest rate policy from the Federal Reserve might not spur Americans to spend more ...
  62. How Did Puerto Rico End Up With So Much Debt ?

    Learn how heavy bond issuance, economic decline, oppressive social spending and a declining population combined to bring ...
  63. Wanted: Monetary Policy Plan B

    Learn how central banks have been the only game in town for years now, driving asset prices higher with the help of interest ...
  64. Consider Leverage in a Negative Yield World

    Find out how leveraging negative yield bonds may help you beat the current deflationary market, but be aware of the greater ...
  65. 3 Japanese Inflation and Policy Implications from PIMCO's Tadashi Kakuchi

    Learn three critical implications for policy and inflation of Japan's introduction of negative interest rates, based on comments ...
  66. Boeing Stock: Analyzing 5 Key Customers (BA)

    Take a closer look at several important Boeing Corporation customers, and learn more about how much business they bring the ...
  67. What to Look for From The Fed

    Once again it is time for the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Board of Governors meeting, and the market is eager to see what ...
  68. A Window of Opportunity for Emerging Market Assets

    This week’s chart shows why we are in a sweet spot for emerging market (EM) assets with a weakening U.S. dollar, a rebound ...
  69. Negative Interest Rates Require Flexibility in Fixed Income

    Here’s a quick look at four charts showing just a few of the interrelated ways the global fixed income markets have dramatically ...
  70. Thoughts from John Hussman on Markets

    Find out what famed market forecaster John Hussman, who correctly called the 2000 and 2007 crashes, thinks about the current ...
  71. 4 Challenges China Faces According to PIMCO

    Get the latest thoughts from Luke Spajic, executive vice president and portfolio manager in Singapore for PIMCO, on challenges ...
  72. Do Big Soccer Tournaments Boost Market Performance?

    See why the conventional wisdom about the World Cup — that it boosts economic activity and helps local stock markets — is ...
  73. 8 Harmful Side Effects of Continued European Quantitative Easing (Q.E.)

    Read about eight harmful side effects of European Central Bank's decision to boost its quantitative easing (QE) program and ...
  74. What to Expect at April's FOMC Meeting

    The Fed won't raise rates Wednesday, but it's worth paying close attention to Yellen's comments about the future trajectory ...
  75. Do the Olympics Boost Market Performance?

    Learn about the economics of the Olympics, and why estimates about stock market boosts for the host country are probably ...
  76. (ATI) Who are Allegheny Technologies' Main Competitors?

    Read about the specialty metals and components producer Allegheny Technologies, and learn more about its operations and competitive ...
  77. Global Transportation: Exploring Revenue Trends and Fundamentals

    Explore the geographic trends in global transportation sector revenues, and discover the factors that influence revenue contribution ...
  78. Does Quantitative Easing (Q.E.) Add to Inequality?

    Learn about quantitative easing (QE) and whether or not this new central banking policy tool plays a role in helping or hindering ...
  79. Why This Finance Pro Sees Deflating Bubbles

    Here's why this finance expert believes not only that there are bubbles but that they are deflating.
  80. 3 Ways Tax Haven Governments Make Money

    If the governments of tax haven countries impose little, or no, income taxes, how exactly do these nations generate revenue?
  81. The Debt Report: The Industrials Sector

    Discover how industrial companies in the United States have added more debt since the Great Recession, which could spell ...
  82. Goldman Sachs Expects Three Rate Hikes in 2016 (GS)

    Explore the factors surrounding the Fed's recent decision to forgo raising interest rates and uncover Goldman Sachs' prediction ...
  83. AQR Capital Management: Investment Manager Highlight

    Discover the investment strategies and secrets of hedge fund powerhouse AQR Capital Management LLC in the alternative investment ...
  84. Can Blockchain and Bitcoin Help the World's Poorest

    Bitcoin and blockchain is thought to have practical functionality in various industries, but can it alleviate poverty?
  85. Why Investors are Bailing on Japanese Stocks

    Foreign investors have pulled out of Japanese equities to the tune of $46 billion so far this year.
  86. How to Prepare for the Low Return Environment Ahead

    Learn about the big takeaway from this week’s chart: Investors aiming for higher returns over the next five years should ...
  87. Does 2016 Spell the End of a Global Debt Cycle?

    Examine the growth of global debt from 2010 to 2015. Emerging market debt has grown significantly, while advanced economy ...
  88. Is the Chinese Economy Backed into a Corner?

    China has two options in response to a slowing economy. Are either of them viable?
  89. The Minimum Wage: Does It Matter?

    The numbers show that a fight for a living wage is more important than a fight for a raise in minimum wage.
  90. What Happens to Bond ETFs in Stressed Markets?

    We are going to dive a little deeper today at how bond exchange traded funds (ETFs) fare when the markets are stressed.
  91. The BRICs to Consider Now

    Many fund managers have raised their emerging market (EM) allocations lately, and we’ve warmed up in general to the asset ...
  92. SocGen Economist: Recession is Inevitable

    Albert Edwards, global strategist at Société Générale, believes a recession is inevitable. His prophecy relates to historical ...
  93. Where Does the Economy Go from Here?

    Is the economy headed in the right direction or toward doom and gloom?
  94. SandRidge's 3 Key Financial Ratios (SDOC)

    Learn more about SandRidge Energy, Inc., a history of the company's performance and financial stability through key financial ...
  95. A Statistic About the U.S. Economy that May Surprise You

    Learn why many commentators seem to be pessimistically focused on the U.S. economy’s weak wage growth and manufacturing sector ...
  96. How to Play a Sideways Market (XIV)

    Dennis Gartman doesn't believe the market will be a raging bull or vicious bear. If he's right, there is a way to play it. ...
  97. Using the TIPS Spread to Predict Inflation (TIP, ATPIX)

    Learn how analysts and investors use the TIPS spread to forecast inflation rates, and how accurate the TIPS spread has been ...
  98. 3 Themes That Will Shape Markets This Quarter

    Fears of a global recession hit markets hard at the start of the year. Yet the anxiety has waned.
  99. Is the Fed On the Right Track?

    Find out why the Federal Reserve (Fed) missed its window to raise interest rates nearly three years ago, when conditions ...
  100. Why It’s Time for More Caution Toward Credit

    Learn why it’s time for more caution toward credit, as prices declined and yields increased.
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