In 1979, Chrysler was on the verge of bankruptcy and in desperate need of a $1.5 billion loan from the federal government. These troubles began back in the 1960s, when the company tried to expand within the United States as well as worldwide in an attempt to catch up to its main competitors. In hindsight it was ill advised, as the 1970s would have three recessions, two energy crises and new government environmental and fuel-efficiency standards. The fear of millions of jobs being lost, along with resurgent German and Japanese auto industries, had many concerned that an already weak economy could be pushed into a depression.
Just how exactly did an American icon fall into such a precarious position? And why did the government bail out the company instead of letting it fail? To answer these questions we will explore a number of factors that contributed to the company's decline, as well as the motivation for the government bailout. (For background reading, see Top 6 U.S. Government Financial Bailouts.)
What Led to Chrysler's Downfall?
Looking back, there is no single factor that drove Chrysler to the brink of bankruptcy. However, when you combine all of the factors together, it becomes clear how the company fell into a desperate situation over time. Factors that led to the company's near-bankruptcy include:
High Gas Prices
During the 1970s, Chrysler was affected by two major spikes in the price of oil and gasoline. This created a chain reaction as many consumers cut back on the purchase of big-ticket items such as cars, while those who were in the market for new ones simply went to Chrysler's Japanese and German competitors, which offered fuel-efficient cars that could accommodate their already tight budgets in a major energy crisis. This contributed to falling sales at the automaker. (For further reading, see Analyzing Auto Stocks.)
High Interest Rates
High energy prices helped contribute to high inflation, which forced the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates to fight spiraling costs. The more interest rates rose, the more the economy slowed and the more expensive it became to obtain financing to purchase a new car. The high interest rates and slow economy caused many consumers to simply put off their automobile purchases until later on. (For further reading, see Curbing The Effects Of Inflation.)
Dropping Automobile Sales
With high gas prices and high interest rates, the inevitable started happening at Chrysler: falling sales. While its competitors, Ford (NYSE:F) and GM (NYSE:GM), were affected as well, they were much larger and were more able to withstand falling sales compared to Chrysler. (Read more about what makes GM a successful company in Getting To Know Business Models.)
Types Of Vehicles Sold
In 1979, Chrysler specialized in making large cars, vans and recreational vehicles. As oil and gas prices rose sharply, many consumers purchased the more fuel-efficient cars that were produced by competitors. A second problem that Chrysler had in this area was that, unlike its competitors, Chrysler would produce automobiles on speculation versus building the cars as the orders were received by the dealers. Since Chrysler's dealers were having trouble selling the company's inefficient cars, this led to an inventory build-up on Chrysler lots. (Read about the importance of inventory levels in Measuring Company Efficiency.)
With the massive amounts of unsold cars and dropping sales, many credit-rating agencies downgraded the company's debt. This meant that in order for them to raise money, they either had to pay more interest on any debt to keep the company running or simply be unable to raise additional funds in the markets. Chrysler chose to not raise funds in the public markets, meaning that they had to make what little working capital they had on hand work for them. This created a situation where the company was losing vast amounts of money, and in the course of just six months, the company went from $1.1 billion in working capital to just over $800 million. Analysts were worried that the company's working capital would drop to $600 million and it would violate its credit agreement with 180 banks and put the company in default. (Read more about debt ratings in The Debt Ratings Debate. See how working capital impacts a company's bottom line in Working Capital Works.)
- Heavy International Competition
After the end of World War II, the American automakers were the premier car manufacturers in the world. However, in the late 1960s, Germany and Japan started to aggressively market cars in the United States. The types of cars that they made were generally perceived to be of better quality and more fuel efficient than the American cars.
As the cost of oil and gasoline rose sharply, many consumers decided that they would rather own the more fuel-efficient cars as opposed togas-guzzling American cars. Chrysler found its sales dropping as many buyers went to foreign competitors to buy the cars they were looking for. This meant that Chrysler was left with unsold cars that consumers no longer wanted to buy. (Learn some telling signs of changing market share in Great Expectations: Forecasting Sales Growth.)
Why Was Chrysler Saved?
Looking back, the bailout of Chrysler was an important milestone in U.S. history. It came at a time when the Cold War was at its height and the perceived economic decline of the U.S. was in full force. For many, the fall of an American icon would have led the country down a path of economic hardship that would be hard to break. However, there were many other reasons why Washington refused to allow this giant to disappear:
National Security Implications
In 1977, Chrysler was awarded the contract to build the M-1 Abrams tank. Since the 1960s, NATO had been looking for a tank that could replace its older models. The fear was that if Chrysler went under, the national security of the country would be compromised by the loss of a manufacturer for tanks, trucks and other vehicles. At the height of the Cold War, it was thought the country had to be ready for anything. (Read about war's effect on financial jargon in War's Influence On Wall Street.)
Had Chrysler been allowed to fail, there would have immediately been 360,000 jobs lost. According to the Congressional Budget Office in 1979, this would have caused a nationwide ripple effect and the loss of an additional 360,000 jobs as dealers and many communities that were dependent on the automaker were forced to make drastic cutbacks as a result of the bankruptcy. The fear was that with the economy in a recession, the job losses would continue to mount. Second, the bankruptcy of the company would force $800 million in unfunded pension obligations for the auto maker's employees onto the federal government. (Read more about underfunded pensions in Analyzing Pension Risk.)
If Chrysler had gone under, many of its suppliers would have had a difficult time surviving as well. They could have continued to work with Ford and GM, but the effects of a bankruptcy at Chrysler would have at least forced them to increase layoffs, which would have affected many communities across the country. (Rising unemployment was a hallmark of the following decade; read Stagflation, 1970s Style to learn more.)
- Improving American Automobiles
Throughout the 1960s, the quality of American cars had declined sharply. Many consumers felt that the Japanese and the Germans made better-quality cars. This was one reason why so many stopped buying American cars. The potential bankruptcy of Chrysler was a wake-up call for the auto industry: It either had to start producing more reliable, better-quality cars or it would continue to face major declines in sales. (Read more about the beginnings of this all-American industry in Henry Ford: Industry Mogul And Industrial Innovator.)
The problems that Chrysler faced came to the forefront in 1979. There were a number of factors that all worked together simultaneously to put the company on the verge of bankruptcy. All of these factors forced the company to heavily lobby both Congress and the White House for a $1.5 billion loan to stay in business and protect millions of jobs.
While many critics wonder whether Chrysler's 1979 bailout actually worked, the facts show that the company was able to come out of the financial situation it was in and develop cars that the public would once again buy, such as the K-car, Avery and minivan. As such, the Chrysler bailout in 1979 suggests that - when done right - government bailouts can contribute to long-term growth and stability in the economy.