Think big. That is the motto most successful investors live by. But sometimes, big ideas and big investment returns come in small packages. In this article, we'll show you how you can find and evaluate a winner in the
micro-cap market.
There are nearly 9,000 publicly traded securities in the United States. Most investors think immediately of the largest companies traded on the major exchanges, such as the
Dow Jones Industrial Average, the
S&P 500 or the
Nasdaq. But there are also many overlooked and misunderstood smaller companies in this investing universe that are worth a hard look. (To read more on this subject, see
Market Capitalization Defined.)
Mini EquitiesBy smaller companies, we are referring to the "Mini-Me" of equities - micro-cap companies. These companies have
market capitalizations in the $50 million to $300 million range. They typically trade on the
Over-the-Counter Bulletin Board (OTCBB) or Nasdaq exchanges. Although less talked about by Wall Street analysts, micro-caps are not wholly unknown; in other words, you will definitely find many companies that you recognize among their ranks.
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| Figure 1: Risk/Reward Trade-off by Capitalization |
Micro-cap equities, which can be measured by the Russell Micro-Cap Index, have significantly outperformed both the S&P 500 large cap and
Russell 2000 small cap indexes over the past five years. (To keep reading on this subject, see
What Is A Small Cap?,
Spotting Sharks Among Penny Stocks and
Introduction to Small Caps.)
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| Sources: Standard & Poor's, Russell |
| Figure 2: Micro-caps outperform large caps and small caps |
Micro-caps can provide significant diversification to your portfolio. This asset class typically has very low correlations with other U.S. equity classes (as low as 0.60 versus the S&P 500 for the period 1972-2006), as well as low correlations with international equity and
fixed-income securities. As Figure 1 shows, however, micro-caps carry higher risks than many other asset classes.
Analyzing Micro-CapsMicro-cap companies don't generate fat investment banking fees for Wall Street firms, so they rarely enjoy regular research coverage by
analysts. As a result, it can take more time and effort to analyze a small company than a large one, and fewer published reports means an investor must do more original research. The result, however, is that micro-cap stocks often don't trade at their full values, creating a price inefficiency from which savvy investors can benefit. (Find out more about analysts in
What To Know About Financial Analysts,
Becoming A Financial Analyst and
Three Kinds Of Analysts And What You Need To Know About Them.)
When it comes to analyzing a micro-cap company, the approach is the same as for a larger company; only what you emphasize in this analysis will differ. Like any potential investment, you might start out by assessing the current stock price against its
52-week high/low trading range. You might glance at valuation ratios, such as the
price/earnings multiple or
price/book multiple, to see if the stock looks cheap or expensive. You'll probably review the company's financial statements to learn how much net profit is being earned on revenues, how high debt levels are compared to the company's capital base and whether the company is generating cash or burning it. (To learn more, see
Introduction To Fundamental Analysis.)
Not Making Money?
What you may discover is that many micro-cap companies aren't making money yet. Earnings are probably negative, so the traditional stock valuation ratios don't make sense. You may also notice a sizable deficit in
shareholders' equity, where a positive number ought to be. Don't be too alarmed! These may be signs that the company is in its early stages of fast-paced growth.
With a micro-cap company, how you spend your research time gets turned upside-down. Unlike with large cap companies, for which historical financial performance is a window to the future, non-financial information holds much more value when looking at a micro-cap stock. You should spend 80% of your effort on understanding the company's business strategy and business model, ensuring the management team is the right one to pull it off, making certain the industry in which the company operates is sizable and growing, and judging how or whether it is better than its competitors. You should spend only 20% of your time looking at current financial results.
For a small, expanding company, financial statements are out-of-date the minute they're filed. Be sure, however, that the company does file financial reports with the
SEC, and that it does so on time. When an OTCBB company doesn't file timely reports, it is given a short grace period by the regulators but is then removed from the exchange. Delayed filings, as well as unusual auditing issues, are major red flags. (To learn more about the SEC, see
Policing The Securities Market: An Overview Of The SEC and
Where can I find a company's annual report and its SEC filings?)
It is critical to stay informed on consumer and industry trends, if you are to be successful in choosing the winners from the losers. Technological advances and changes in consumer tastes and lifestyles can make or break even the strongest companies. Future-focused studies, like the predictions of trend-guru
Faith Popcorn, can clue you in to the latest brands, attitudes and ideas about to rock the world.
Questions to think about include:
- Has this company invented a compelling product or service that taps a unique niche in the market place?
- Does the company have a better way of doing things?
- Will the company's offering be in demand in the future, no matter what the economic cycle?
The promise of wild returns in micro-cap equities, however, comes with a price.
Liquidity is usually limited, meaning that you might not be able to sell a micro-cap stock quickly enough to minimize losses when things go wrong. Also, it may be difficult as an individual investor to conduct the depth of original research required. Be warned that these companies are like shooting stars: they can fizzle out just as fast as they light up the sky. Be careful to only risk as much money as you are prepared to lose. And remember that valuing micro-cap equities can be especially challenging if you aren't familiar with non-traditional price valuation techniques.
Gaining Micro-Cap Exposure
How can you invest in micro-cap equities if you don't have the time or skill to do the necessary
due diligence? Consider investing in
exchange-traded funds that track a micro-cap index, such as the Russell Micro-Cap Index. Also, you might want to check out some free research ideas from independent, fee-based research firms. These firms issue stock reports on many interesting micro-cap companies that just might be right for your portfolio.
