Filed Under:
Forex pairs in this Article » AUD/USD, EUR/USD, GOLD
Talking Points

  • Opening range plays on the EUR & Gold to offer conviction on near-term directional bias
  • AUDUSD price action remains constructive- interim risk for minor setback
  • Gold rally halted at channel resistance- near-term bearish momentum at risk
EURUSD Daily Chart

Forex_Euro_Gold_Opening_Ranges_in_Focus-_Long_AUD_Scalp_Setup_Pending_body_EURUSD_Daily.png, Euro, Gold Opening Ranges in Focus- Long AUD Scalp Setup PendingChart Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Technical Outlook

  • October opening range puts focus on 1.3503 - 1.3640
  • Close below 1.3503/34 support zone targets 1.3435 & 1.3305/40 Bullish invalidation
  • Break targets at 1.32, 1.3095-1.3103 & 1.2945
  • Breach above 1.3640 targets resistance at 1.3709 & 1.3800/30
  • Daily RSI remains constructive- look for trigger break below 60 & former TL resistance
Notes: The EURUSD ran into key resistance at the bisector of an Andrew’s pitchfork formation taken from the July lows and the Feb close high at 1.3638 (actual October high so far 1.3645) with daily momentum continuing to be capped by the 70-threshold. Near-term focus remains on the October opening range with a favored break below 1.3503 putting shorts scalps into play. Topside breach keeps focus on the rally off the July lows with target eyed at 1.3709 and above.

AUDUSD Daily Chart

Forex_Euro_Gold_Opening_Ranges_in_Focus-_Long_AUD_Scalp_Setup_Pending_body_AUDUSD_DAILY.png, Euro, Gold Opening Ranges in Focus- Long AUD Scalp Setup PendingTechnical Outlook

  • Key Resistance 9510/16 backed by 9575
  • Breach targets objectives at 9714, 9811 & 9900/30
  • Daily RSI support trigger warns of possible near-term correction
  • Remains constructive above 9270 support confluence- Bullish invalidation
  • Key Events: Employment Report on Wednesday
Notes: The October opening range hasn’t been all that helpful (may still be in the process) as we continue to press higher in aussie. I’m looking for a near-term set-back to offer favorable long-side exposure with former channel resistance / current channel support possibly coming into focus in the next few days. Initial topside objectives are eyed at 9510/16 and 9575 with a breach here offering further conviction on longs into subsequent resistance targets. Wait for RSI to reset/offer topside triggers with only a break below the 9220-9270 range suggesting a deeper correction may be at hand. Overall the advance off the August lows remains constructive.

GOLD Daily Chart

Forex_Euro_Gold_Opening_Ranges_in_Focus-_Long_AUD_Scalp_Setup_Pending_body_GOLD_DAILY.png, Euro, Gold Opening Ranges in Focus- Long AUD Scalp Setup PendingTechnical Outlook

  • Gold pressing operative channel resistance
  • October opening range in focus $1278- 1337- Break to offer clarity on near-term bias
  • Support break puts larger trend back in play- objectives at $1233, $1209
  • Daily RSI divergence and trigger break suggests may see near-term correction higher
  • Bearish invalidation $1374-1379
  • Key Events: Debt Ceiling / Gov’t Shutdown debate
Notes: Few things are concerning me in the near-term on gold that could interrupt our bearish outlook. 1- Daily RSI has been unable to hold below the 40-threshold (which often suggests that the near-term pullback remains corrective within a larger up- trend) 2- The sharp rebound seen early this month came off significant technical barriers and completes key Fibonacci ratios off the August highs. Bottom line: the monthly opening ranges on gold have served us well throughout 2013 and we’ll wait for a clear break to offer further conviction on a near-term directional bias. Broader bias remains weighted to the downside below $1379 with objectives eyed at $1233, $1209 and $1181.

Review today’s Scalp Webinar for further insights and current trade setups

Trade these setups and more alongside DailyFX with DailyFX on Demand

---Written by Michael Boutros, Currency Strategist with DailyFX

For updates on these setups and more follow him on Twitter @MBForex

To contact Michael email mboutros@dailyfx.com or Click Here to be added to his email distribution list

Join Michael Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday mornings for a Live Scalping Webinar on DailyFX Plus (Exclusive of Live Clients) at 1230 GMT (8:30ET)

Introduction to Scalping Strategies Webinar

original source
comments powered by Disqus
Trading Center