Filed Under:
Talking Points

  • Short-term cyclical picture turns positive next week
  • Nearing key support levels
Unfamiliar with Gann Square Root Relationships? Learn more about them here.

Our base case remains that the reversals seen in the EUR/USD and USD/CHF late last year were cyclically significant and should presage a general USD move higher over the course of 2014. As such, the weakness in USD/CHF over the past few weeks presents a potential buying opportunity as the exchange rate tests the key 61.8% retracement of the December to January range near .8935. The short-term cyclical outlook suggests the rate could have another day or two of more downside and for this reason we like waiting until next week before positioning. Aggressive weakness after next Monday below.8875 would severely damage the positive cyclical outlook.

USD/CHF Daily Chart: February 13, 2014

range_feb_13_body_Picture_2.png, Low Next Week in USD/CHF?Charts Created using Marketscope – Prepared by Kristian Kerr

Key Event Risk Next Week:

range_feb_13_body_Picture_1.png, Low Next Week in USD/CHF?LEVELS TO WATCH

Resistance: .8975 (Fibonacci), .9035 (weekly high)

Support: .8935 (Fibonacci), .8875 (Fibonacci)

Strategy: Buy USD/CHF Next Week

Entry: Buy USD/CHF at .8940

Stop: .8860

Target: .9130

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