Forex: USD/CAD rallies after US and Canada data

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - From 1.0025 area, that was serving as resistance during the European morning, the USDCAD broke through and rallied to as high as 1.0067 on Canada and US data releases.

Canada manufacturing shipments fell -3.1% in December, a wider drop than the -0.8% expected. US NY empire state manufacturing came in at 10.08 in February, surprising analysts that were only expecting an improvement from -7.78 to -2.00.

Although capacity utilization in the US improved from 78.8% (revised from 79.3%) to 79.1% in January, beating 78.9% consensus, industrial production fell -0.1%, instead of rising 0.2% as expected. Last month's data was revised lower, from 0.4% to 0.3%.

MIG Bank analysts expect the USDCAD to edge lower as it has failed to break its resistance at 1.0100. "The inability to break the resistance area between 1.0057 and 1.0100 could be the start of a medium-term bearish reversal pattern", wrote analyst Bijoy Kar, pointing to an hourly resistance at 1.0044 (13/02/2013 high), while supports can be found at 1.0000 (14/02/2013 low) and 0.9933 (07/02/2013 low).