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Talking Points:

  • AUD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.9324, 0.9201, 0.9041
  • Resistance: 0.9436, 0.9460, 0.9555

The Australian Dollar may be setting a double top below the 0.95 figure against its US counterpart as prices show a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Initial support is at 0.9324, with a daily close below that targeting the 23.6% Fibonacci expansion at 0.9201. The first layer of resistance lines up at 0.9436, the June 12 high. A turn above that aims for the April 10 high at 0.9460, followed by rising channel bottom support-turned-resistance at 0.9555.

A bounce in the aftermath of the FOMC policy announcement has improved risk/reward parameters and we will now attempt to enter short, initially targeting 0.9324. A stop-loss will be triggered on a daily close above 0.9460. We will book profit on half of the trade and move the stop-loss to breakeven once the first target is reached.

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AUD/USD Technical Analysis – Short Position Now in Play

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

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