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Talking Points:

  • AUD/USD Technical Strategy: Short at 0.9414
  • Support:0.9305-24, 0.9223, 0.9181
  • Resistance: 0.9422, 0.9479, 0.9507

The Australian Dollar fell as expected against its US namesake after prices put in a Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern. Near-term support is in the 0.9305-24 area, marked by a horizontal pivot in play since March and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A daily close below that targets the 0.9181-223 zone, bracketed by a range bottom and the 38.2% level. Alternatively, a turn above support-turned-resistance at 0.9422 clears the way for a test of trend line support-turned-resistance at 0.9479, followed by the 38.2% Fib expansion at 0.9507.

We entered short AUDUSD at 0.9414, initially targeting a return to 0.9324. A stop-loss will be triggered on a daily close abovethe July 1 high at 0.9504. We will take profit on half of the trade and move the stop-loss to breakeven on the remainder of the position once the first objective is met.

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AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Deeper Losses Expected Ahead

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

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