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- EUR/JPY Technical Strategy: Flat
- Support: 137.45 (channel floor), 136.22 (Feb 4 low)
- Resistance: 138.55 (14.6% Fib ret.), 139.10 (23.6% Fib ret.)
The Euro may be readying to turn higher against the Japanese Yen after prices put in a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. Positive RSI divergence bolsters the case for the upside scenario. Initial resistance is at 138.55, the 14.6% Fibonacci retracement, with a break above that on a daily closing basis exposing the 23.6% level at 139.10. Falling channel floor support comes in at 137.45. A turn below that clears a path to test the February 4 low at 136.22
While tempting, we will tactically opt not to pursue a long position. The ECB stands out among the major central banks as moving further to the dovish side of the monetary policy spectrum, putting the Euro at an inherent disadvantage.
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