Euro Positions at Record, Further Losses Seem Likely

By DailyFx | Updated July 31, 2014 AAA

DailyFX.com - Euro Positions at Record, Further Losses Seem Likely

Receive the Weekly Speculative Sentiment Index report via PDF via David’s e-mail distribution list.

EURUSD – The Euro trades at fresh year-to-date lows versus the US Dollar, and one-sided sentiment warns of continued EURUSD weakness.

Trade Implications – EURUSD: Our proprietary retail FX positioning data shows traders are their most long the Euro versus the US Dollar on record, and when everyone buys we typically look to sell. This factor in itself keeps us looking for further EUR losses.

The important caveat is that these sentiment extremes can often coincide with significant turning points. There’s no way to know when/if we’re at THE low, however, and until we see a significant shift in sentiment we’ll keep in favor of continued EURUSD declines. Key support comes in at November lows of $1.33, and a breakdown leaves little in the way of a move towards September’s trough near $1.31.

See next currency section: GBPUSD - British Pound Breakdown Confirmed, Look for Losses

You May Also Like

COMPANIES IN THIS ARTICLE
Related Forex Analysis
  1. Investing

    EUR/USD Falls During Wednesday Trading

  2. Forex News

    EUR/USD hovers around 1.1300, German labour report in focus

  3. Forex News

    EUR/USD failure to break above 1.1320/15 – DayTradeIdeas

  4. Forex News

    EUR/USD steadies below 1.1300 post FOMC, German CPI eyed

  5. Forex News

    Euro May Overlook Soft German CPI Data, Swiss Franc Under Fire

Trading Center