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Talking Points:

  • NZD/USD Technical Strategy: Flat
  • Support: 0.8443, 0.8350, 0.8236
  • Resistance:0.8535, 0.8596, 0.8650

The New Zealand Dollar remains in digestion mode against its US counterpart as prices come to terms with losses following the RBNZ monetary policy announcement. Near-term support is at 0.8443, the intersection of a rising trend line set from September 2013 and the 50%Fibonacci retracement. Breaking below this barrier on a daily closing basis exposes the 61.8% level at 0.8350. Alternatively, a turn above the 38.2% Fib at 0.8535 clears the way for a challenge of support-turn-resistance at a trend line established from January, now at 0.8596.

Risk/reward considerations argue against entering short with prices trading in close proximity to support. On the other hand, the absence of a defined bullish reversal signal suggests taking up the long side is premature. We will remain flat for now.

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NZD/USD Technical Analysis: Trend Line Support Holding

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

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