Surprise PMIs Offer EUR/JPY, EUR/USD ST Reversal Opportunities

By DailyFx | July 24, 2014 AAA

DailyFX.com -

Talking Points:

- Best PMI surveys out of Europe in three-months.

- EURJPY, EURUSD see bullish engulfing candles on daily chart.

- Reminder that July forex seasonals in QE era work against USD.

The Euro may be poised for a short-term bounce against its major counterparts over the coming days, as the most important data on the Euro-Zone economic calendar this week roundly beat expectations.

The German, French, and Euro-Zone PMI surveys all registered three-month highs in July, much better than the anticipated further decline as noted by a Bloomberg News survey. Economic data has been particularly weak out of the Euro-Zone in recent weeks, with the Citi Economic Surprise Index residing at -42.3, just above the yearly low set at -43.3 on July 21.

While the fundamental data may be the spark to see the charts turn in the short-term (EURJPY and EURUSD are both working on daily reversal signals), the overarching theme of Euro-Zone weakness, the threat of additional monetary easing from the ECB, and heightened geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe have proved to be significant weights.

Instead, given the broader technical breakdowns that have developed across the EUR-complex, the present setups may be simply setting up for countertrend moves. See the video above for technical outlooks on EURJPY and EURUSD.

Read more: BoE Sings Dovish Tune - How Threatened are GBP Longs?

comments powered by Disqus
Related Forex Analysis
  1. AUD/USD Recovery Hopes Fade With Reversal Pattern Lacking Confirmation
    Forex News

    AUD/USD Recovery Hopes Fade With Reversal Pattern Lacking Confirmation

  2. USD/JPY bulls need to take a breath before a new attack at 110.00
    Forex News

    USD/JPY bulls need to take a breath before a new attack at 110.00

  3. Crude Oil Recovers Ahead Of Inventories, Platinum Hits Multi-Year Low
    Forex News

    Crude Oil Recovers Ahead Of Inventories, Platinum Hits Multi-Year Low

  4. GBP/USD nervous below 1.6200, waiting for data
    Forex News

    GBP/USD nervous below 1.6200, waiting for data

  5. Dollar’s Current Bull Leg Strongest since Rally Through Crisis
    Forex News

    Dollar’s Current Bull Leg Strongest since Rally Through Crisis

Trading Center