DailyFX.com -

Talking Points:

• Though the S&P 500's bull run is still in place, the momentum through the end of last week fizzled out

• A correction - not reversal - is a high probability scenario and many FX pairs are exposed

• On the monetary policy front, GBPUSD and GBPJPY are wading into potential breakout territory

What kind of Trading best suits you? Technical or Fundamental? Short-term or Long-term? Take our Trader Survey and find out.

The euphoric bid on risk trends through the end of last week following ECB stimulus push and NFP beat flat-lined to start the week. While the S&P 500 - the model for speculative appetite - is clinging on to record highs, the lack of big-ticket fundamental catalysts and lack of risk premium to fade suggests a correction is a high probability. A pullback in an excessive risk lean does not readily translate into a full-scale risk aversion move, but there is still significant trade potential to such a move. Fitting the context of more range bound circumstances in financial markets, pairs like GBPUSD, GBPJPY, AUDUSD and USDJPY are well positioned. Should the intensity pick up, EURUSD could make an effort to clear 1.3550. If risk aversion truly kicks in, we will be awash in opportunity. We look at the more likely scenarios first and work our way out in today's Trading Video.

Sign up for John’s email distribution list, here.

Related Articles
  1. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    Top Three Transportation ETFs

    These three transportation funds attract the majority of sector volume.
  2. Investing Basics

    Tops Tips for Trading ETFs

    A look at two different trading strategies for ETFs - one for investors and the other for active traders.
  3. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    Top 4 Investment Grade Corporate Bonds ETFs

    Discover detailed analysis and information about some of the top exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that offer exposure to the investment-grade corporate bond market.
  4. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    Top 5 Emerging Market ETFs

    Find out which emerging markets ETFs have enough of an asset base, trading volume and low fees to be considered top choices in the segment.
  5. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    How to Profit From Market Volatility Using ETFs

    Volatility funds offer exposure to high greed and fear levels while avoiding predictions on price direction.
  6. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    The Best Currency ETFs

    We look at the best currency ETFs for gaining exposure to various global currencies, based on daily volume and performance.
  7. Chart Advisor

    Trade Base Metals With These 3 ETFs

    News out of Alcoa is causing active traders to turn toward base metals for opportunities. Before diving into the market, check out the charts of these three ETFs.
  8. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    Top 3 German Bonds ETFs

    Learn about the top three exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that invest in sovereign and private bonds issued by Germany with different duration yields.
  9. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    Using Short ETFs to Battle a Down Market

    Instead of selling your stocks to get gains, consider a short selling strategy, specifically one that uses short ETFs that help manage the risk.
  10. Investing Basics

    The 4 Biggest Bond Myths

    Bonds can be a great addition to a portfolio but be aware of these four myths.
  1. Can mutual funds invest in IPOs?

    Mutual funds can invest in initial public offerings (IPOS). However, most mutual funds have bylaws that prevent them from ... Read Full Answer >>
  2. Does index trading increase market vulnerability?

    The rise of index trading may increase the overall vulnerability of the stock market due to increased correlations between ... Read Full Answer >>
  3. What does a high turnover ratio signify for an investment fund?

    If an investment fund has a high turnover ratio, it indicates it replaces most or all of its holdings over a one-year period. ... Read Full Answer >>
  4. What is the difference between passive and active asset management?

    Asset management utilizes two main investment strategies that can be used to generate returns: active asset management and ... Read Full Answer >>
  5. Is there a situation in which wash trading is legal?

    Wash trading, the intentional practice of manipulating a stock's activity level to deceive other investors, is not a legal ... Read Full Answer >>
  6. Are there leveraged ETFs that follow the retail sector?

    There are many exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the retail sector or elements of the retail sector, and some of those ... Read Full Answer >>

You May Also Like

Trading Center
You are using adblocking software

Want access to all of Investopedia? Add us to your “whitelist”
so you'll never miss a feature!