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Talking Points:

• A change in market conditions is likely stirring more deeply than just surface volatility on headlines

• Each short-term trigger that we meet reminds investors of extreme market positioning

• The S&P 500 will be one of the key signals, but before it gives Yen crosses will lead the way

See volume behind the majors during the NFPs and ECB rate decision to gauge your trading approach using the free FXCM Real Volume and Transactions indicators.

Is there a deeper well of change behind the markets than just this past week's headline-derived swell in volatility? We have seen short-lived panics quickly squashed by opportunistic traders many times over the past months and years, with conditions ultimately returning to complacency and an increasingly stretched reach for return. Yet, rather than focus on the ripple, the underlying current is starting to turn. The pull of a 'return to norm' is exposing investors' leverage to risk and finding different benchmarks for sentiment on divergent paths. What should we watch for and where are the trading opportunities? We discuss this in the weekend Trading Video.

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