DailyFX.com -

Talking Points:

  • US Dollar Flirting with Overturning Three-Year Uptrend
  • S&P 500 Vulnerable After Setting Another Record High
  • Gold Soars to Retake $1300/oz Figure, Crude Oil Stalling

Can’t access to the Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index? Try the USD basket on Mirror Trader. **

US DOLLAR TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices continue to fall in the aftermath of the FOMC announcement, probing below multi-year trend support (10434). This barrier is reinforced by a falling channel bottom at 10419. Breaking below that on a daily closing basis would suggest a major reversal is in progress and expose a double bottom at 10375.Resistance remains in the 10474-95 area, with a turn above that opening the door for another test of the May 28 high at 10531.

US Dollar at the Precipice of Major Breakdown, SPX 500 Vulnerable

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

** The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index and the Mirror Trader USD basket are not the same product.

S&P 500 TECHNICAL ANALYSISPrices advanced to yet another record high, eying resistance at 1961.50 marked by the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion. A break above that aims for the top of a rising channel set from mid-April at 1970.70. Emerging negative RSI divergence warns of ebbing upward momentum however and hints a reversal lower may be in the cards ahead. A turn below the 23.6% level at 1947.80 targets the 14.6% Fib at 1939.30.

US Dollar at the Precipice of Major Breakdown, SPX 500 Vulnerable

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

GOLD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices launched sharply higher to test resistance at 1321.64, the 38.2% Fibonacci expansion. A break above this barrier targets the 50% level at 1346.78. Alternatively, a turn back below the 1300/oz figure aims for the 1277.00-90 area, marked by April 1 low and the 23.6% Fib.

US Dollar at the Precipice of Major Breakdown, SPX 500 Vulnerable

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – Prices pulled back as expected following a series of back-to-back indecision candles.Support comes in at 105.96, the 76.4% Fibonacci expansion. A reversal below that initially aims for the 61.8% level at 105.12.Alternatively, a move above resistanceat 107.32, the 100% Fib, targets the 123.6% level at 108.68.

US Dollar at the Precipice of Major Breakdown, SPX 500 Vulnerable

Daily Chart - Created Using FXCM Marketscope 2.0

Related Articles
  1. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: BioShares Biotechnology Clinical Trials

    Learn more about the BioShares Biotechnology Clinical Trials Fund, a new and innovative fund focusing on breakthroughs in the health industry.
  2. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: First Trust NYSE Arca Biotech

    Learn more about the First Trust NYSE Arca Biotechnology Fund, a highly rated exchange-traded fund in the biotech space.
  3. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: PowerShares KBW Bank

    Consider an examination and analysis of the PowerShares KBW Bank Portfolio ETF, considered one of the primary financial sector ETFs.
  4. Chart Advisor

    3 Ways to Trade the Rising Volatility

    With volatility increasing in the markets, many are turning to these three volatility-capturing exchange-traded products.
  5. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: iShares US Basic Materials

    Learn about the iShares US Basic Materials exchange-traded fund, which invests in the equities of chemicals, metals and industrial gas companies.
  6. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: Ultra Oil & Gas

    Find out more about the ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas exchange-traded fund, the characteristics of the ETF and the suitability and recommendations for the fund.
  7. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: PowerShares DB Commodity Tracking

    Find out about the PowerShares DB Commodity Tracking ETF, and explore a detailed analysis of the fund that tracks 14 distinct commodities using futures contracts.
  8. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: PowerShares FTSE RAFI US 1000

    Find out about the PowerShares FTSE RAFI U.S. 1000 ETF, and explore detailed analysis of the fund that invests in undervalued stocks.
  9. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    Comparing ETFs Vs. Mutual Funds For Tax Efficiency

    Explore a comparison of mutual funds and exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, and learn what makes ETFs a significantly more tax-efficient investment.
  10. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: Vanguard Small-Cap Value

    Find out about the Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF, and explore detailed analysis of its characteristics, suitability, recommendations and historical statistics.
RELATED TERMS
  1. Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF)

    A security that tracks an index, a commodity or a basket of assets ...
  2. Exchange-Traded Mutual Funds (ETMF)

    Investopedia explains the definition of exchange-traded mutual ...
  3. Lion economies

    A nickname given to Africa's growing economies.
  4. Factor Investing

    An investment strategy in which securities are chosen based on ...
  5. Reverse Gold ETF

    Exchange traded funds that are designed to trade in a direction ...
  6. Investment Fund

    A supply of capital belonging to numerous investors that is used ...
RELATED FAQS
  1. What does a high turnover ratio signify for an investment fund?

    If an investment fund has a high turnover ratio, it indicates it replaces most or all of its holdings over a one-year period. ... Read Full Answer >>
  2. Does index trading increase market vulnerability?

    The rise of index trading may increase the overall vulnerability of the stock market due to increased correlations between ... Read Full Answer >>
  3. What is the difference between passive and active asset management?

    Asset management utilizes two main investment strategies that can be used to generate returns: active asset management and ... Read Full Answer >>
  4. Is there a situation in which wash trading is legal?

    Wash trading, the intentional practice of manipulating a stock's activity level to deceive other investors, is not a legal ... Read Full Answer >>
  5. Are there leveraged ETFs that follow the retail sector?

    There are many exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the retail sector or elements of the retail sector, and some of those ... Read Full Answer >>
  6. What are some of the most popular ETFs that track the retail sector?

    Some of the most popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the retail sector include the iShares S&P Global Consumer ... Read Full Answer >>

You May Also Like

COMPANIES IN THIS ARTICLE
Trading Center
×

You are using adblocking software

Want access to all of Investopedia? Add us to your “whitelist”
so you'll never miss a feature!