DailyFX.com -

Talking Points:

- USDOLLAR nearing key resistance, no thanks to AUD or JPY.

- EURUSD, GBPUSD leading greenback advances.

- July forex seasonals in QE era still working against greenback, however.

US economic data improved throughout the month of July, although in recent days the momentum has come to a bit of a standstill and started to pullback. This is reflected by the Citi Economic Surprise Index, which at -26.0 is now the weakest since early-May.

The US economy has stabilized, however, not necessarily plunged into a new era of disappointment: the three-month differential on the CESI-USD (July 24 reading minus April 24 reading) is at +1.1, off the July peak of +32.6. It's no surprise then that as the US economy has shuffled sideways, the USDOLLAR Index has moved in tandem, very little over the last three months as well.

High importance US economic data such as today's release of the June Durable Goods Orders report, have the innate potential to jumpstart a move in this low volatility environment. Considering where the USDOLLAR Index is trading, a high event catalyst couldn't be coming at a more opportune time.

When trading in and out of the US Dollar, our preference is to stay away from AUDUSD and USDJPY, as the two pairs have moved sideways if nowhere for the past several weeks (about a month in AUDUSD, about five months in USDJPY).

Instead, as discussed earlier this week (see: Managing USD Expectations with EUR/USD, USD/CAD (but not USD/JPY)), our preference is to stick to the European currencies as they have been the laggards (an extension of StrongWeak analysis). See the technical video above for a look at USDOLLAR, EURUSD, and GBPUSD setups.

Read more: BoE Sings Dovish Tune - How Threatened are GBP Longs?

Related Articles
  1. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: ProShares UltraPro Nasdaq Biotech

    Obtain information about an ETF offerings that provides leveraged exposure to the biotechnology industry, the ProShares UltraPro Nasdaq Biotech Fund.
  2. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: iShares MSCI Europe Financials

    Learn about the iShares MSCI Europe Financials fund, which invests in numerous European financial industries, such as banks, insurance and real estate.
  3. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: SPDR S&P Insurance

    Learn about the SPDR S&P Insurance exchange-traded fund, which follows the S&P Insurance Select Industry Index by investing in equities of U.S. insurers.
  4. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Small Cap

    Learn about the SPDR S&P Emerging Markets Small Cap exchange-traded fund, which invests in small-cap firms traded at the emerging equity markets.
  5. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: ETFS Physical Platinum

    Learn about the physical platinum ETF. Platinum embarked on a bull market from 2001 to 2011, climbing to record prices along with other precious metals.
  6. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: iShares MSCI Turkey

    Learn about the iShares MSCI Turkey exchange-traded fund, which invests in a wide variety of companies' equities traded on Turkish exchanges.
  7. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: PowerShares S&P 500 Downside Hedged

    Find out about the PowerShares S&P 500 Downside Hedged ETF, and learn detailed information about characteristics, suitability and recommendations of it.
  8. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: Guggenheim Enhanced Short Dur

    Find out about the Guggenheim Enhanced Short Duration ETF, and learn detailed information about this fund that focuses on fixed-income securities.
  9. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: iShares US Oil&Gas Explor&Prodtn

    Learn about the iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF, which provides an efficient way to invest in the exploration and production sector.
  10. Mutual Funds & ETFs

    ETF Analysis: iShares Morningstar Small-Cap Value

    Find out about the Shares Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF, and learn detailed information about this exchange-traded fund that focuses on small-cap equities.
RELATED TERMS
  1. Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF)

    A security that tracks an index, a commodity or a basket of assets ...
  2. Exchange-Traded Mutual Funds (ETMF)

    Investopedia explains the definition of exchange-traded mutual ...
  3. Lion economies

    A nickname given to Africa's growing economies.
  4. Factor Investing

    An investment strategy in which securities are chosen based on ...
  5. Reverse Gold ETF

    Exchange traded funds that are designed to trade in a direction ...
  6. Investment Fund

    A supply of capital belonging to numerous investors that is used ...
RELATED FAQS
  1. What does a high turnover ratio signify for an investment fund?

    If an investment fund has a high turnover ratio, it indicates it replaces most or all of its holdings over a one-year period. ... Read Full Answer >>
  2. Does index trading increase market vulnerability?

    The rise of index trading may increase the overall vulnerability of the stock market due to increased correlations between ... Read Full Answer >>
  3. What is the difference between passive and active asset management?

    Asset management utilizes two main investment strategies that can be used to generate returns: active asset management and ... Read Full Answer >>
  4. Is there a situation in which wash trading is legal?

    Wash trading, the intentional practice of manipulating a stock's activity level to deceive other investors, is not a legal ... Read Full Answer >>
  5. What are some of the most popular ETFs that track the retail sector?

    Some of the most popular exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the retail sector include the iShares S&P Global Consumer ... Read Full Answer >>
  6. Are there leveraged ETFs that follow the retail sector?

    There are many exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that track the retail sector or elements of the retail sector, and some of those ... Read Full Answer >>

You May Also Like

COMPANIES IN THIS ARTICLE
Trading Center
×

You are using adblocking software

Want access to all of Investopedia? Add us to your “whitelist”
so you'll never miss a feature!