FXStreet (Guatemala) - Stephen Gallo, European Head of Currency Strategy at BMO Capital explained the G10’s movements in the London session earlier on today.

Key Quotes:

"Most of the ‘shifts’ in G10 this morning in London did not appear to have a basis in fundamentals. The GBP was softer, but even here, the ‘GBP-negative’ remarks from BoE officials need to be weighed against the already sizeable leveraged long position in the currency."

"Some of the GBP weakness was purely ‘squeeze related’. Against a relatively supportive environment for ‘risk’ and carry, the moves in the AUD, NZD and JPY don’t seem completely logical, but some participants may have just been caught on the wrong side of month-end flow."

"As our spot traders would probably say, the path of least resistance in USD/CAD is still lower. This would not be based on where many of the key drivers argue the pair should trade (1.0850-1.0900), but on the various pressure points in the system related to positioning, ‘pain’ and possible ‘stop-loss’ hunts."

"We’d therefore blame most of the bounce in USD/CAD since mid-morning on the move up in EUR/CAD. Better buying of the EUR was triggered earlier as a result of a softer AUD, and EUR/GBP short covering on the BoE."

"We still assume USD/CAD’s deviation from most of the key drivers is basically reducing the speed of the move lower in the pair, but that’s about all. The BoC has presumably favoured a weaker CAD, but it has done so timidly – for now."

"Probably the best chance USD/CAD has of obtaining the 1.0750-1.0775 range is on better US durables data tomorrow and a good showing in personal income, spending and the PCE deflator on Thursday. But with WTI above $105/bbl, 1.0750-1.0775 rallies should probably still be faded."

"However, the big ‘wild card’ in all of this now appears to be EUR/CAD again. On a pair-by-pair basis, the market is still probably net short of EURs."

Related Articles
  1. Forex Education

    Four Currencies Under the Spotlight in 2016

    With currencies having become the “tail that wags the dog,” in terms of their impact on the global economy, these four currencies will be under the spotlight in 2016.
  2. Forex Fundamentals

    These Currencies Are The Biggest Losers Of The Stock Downturn

    Here’s a list of the hardest-hit currencies amid the global stock market mayhem.
  3. Forex Strategies

    Will the Euro Continue to Rally? (EUO)

    The euro is rallying. Should investors chase this performance or is the real opportunity on the other side of the trade?
  4. Investing News

    China’s Forex Reserves Dropped Significantly

    China’s forex​ reserves dropped by a record $93.9 billion at the end of August to $3.56 trillion because the Central Bank has been selling dollars to provide a cushion to the falling yuan​
  5. Forex

    The Pros and Cons of a Fully Convertible Rupee

    Amid the rising economic power of India, the talks of making the Indian currency fully convertible are gaining momentum. We look at the pros and cons.
  6. Forex Fundamentals

    Chinese Yuan an Unlikely Reserve Currency

    As the world's second largest economy, China's challenge to America’s dominance includes a push to make the yuan (RMB), the world’s reserve currency. Whether it can do that now is unclear.
  7. Economics

    How Currency Enforcement Helped Sink The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TTP)

    One particular barrier to trade that has received much attention of late and caused delays in negotiations of the TPP is exchange-rate manipulation, by which a country artificially devalues its ...
  8. Forex

    Top U.S Forex News Sites

    Breaking news moves forex markets. Here are the top U.S. sites for tracking forex news.
  9. Investing

    Financial News Comparison: Bloomberg Vs. Reuters (BAC, GOOG)

    Access to financial information has grown with the expansion of digital news. Bloomberg and Thomson Reuters lead the pack, claiming a majority of the business information market.
  10. Economics

    Who Benefits From South Korea's Lowered Interest Rates?

    South Korea is the latest country to cut interest rates in an attempt to stimulate economic growth.
Trading Center