FXStreet (Bali) - Irene Cheung, FX Strategist at ANZ, notes reduced intervention risk in the Chinese Yuan, adding that BOP flows will now be key to dictate currency.



Key Quotes



"With PBoC’s latest remark to exit from day-to-day FX market intervention, we think that market forces, supported by BoP flows, will continue to bode well for the CNY."



"Indeed, with the spot now trading very closely to the centre of the daily band (ie 2% away from either side of the band), intervention risk is not prominent. Any central bank action will likely aim to reduce market volatility or to smooth sharp moves more than to change the fundamental, BoP-driven direction of the currency."



"Given strong trade and portfolio flows, we see further downside risk in spot USD/CNY. Our short USD/CNH forward position (initiated on 9 June 2014, with 10 months to maturity) will benefit if the curve flattens amid benign inflation."



Related Articles
  1. Forex Education

    Four Currencies Under the Spotlight in 2016

    With currencies having become the “tail that wags the dog,” in terms of their impact on the global economy, these four currencies will be under the spotlight in 2016.
  2. Forex Fundamentals

    These Currencies Are The Biggest Losers Of The Stock Downturn

    Here’s a list of the hardest-hit currencies amid the global stock market mayhem.
  3. Forex Strategies

    Will the Euro Continue to Rally? (EUO)

    The euro is rallying. Should investors chase this performance or is the real opportunity on the other side of the trade?
  4. Investing News

    China’s Forex Reserves Dropped Significantly

    China’s forex​ reserves dropped by a record $93.9 billion at the end of August to $3.56 trillion because the Central Bank has been selling dollars to provide a cushion to the falling yuan​
  5. Forex

    The Pros and Cons of a Fully Convertible Rupee

    Amid the rising economic power of India, the talks of making the Indian currency fully convertible are gaining momentum. We look at the pros and cons.
  6. Forex Fundamentals

    Chinese Yuan an Unlikely Reserve Currency

    As the world's second largest economy, China's challenge to America’s dominance includes a push to make the yuan (RMB), the world’s reserve currency. Whether it can do that now is unclear.
  7. Economics

    How Currency Enforcement Helped Sink The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TTP)

    One particular barrier to trade that has received much attention of late and caused delays in negotiations of the TPP is exchange-rate manipulation, by which a country artificially devalues its ...
  8. Forex

    Top U.S Forex News Sites

    Breaking news moves forex markets. Here are the top U.S. sites for tracking forex news.
  9. Investing

    Financial News Comparison: Bloomberg Vs. Reuters (BAC, GOOG)

    Access to financial information has grown with the expansion of digital news. Bloomberg and Thomson Reuters lead the pack, claiming a majority of the business information market.
  10. Economics

    Who Benefits From South Korea's Lowered Interest Rates?

    South Korea is the latest country to cut interest rates in an attempt to stimulate economic growth.
COMPANIES IN THIS ARTICLE
Trading Center