The week ahead in FX market - Nomura

By | Updated August 24, 2014 AAA

FXStreet (Bali) - Nomura FX Strategists review the week ahead, highlighting Japan and Eurozone CPIs.

Key Quotes

Next week kicks off with German IFO data on Monday at 9:00BST. Nomura estimates are slightly below the market consensus. US house price data are released on Tuesday at 14:00BST. Otherwise the first few days of next week are relatively quiet on the data front.

From Europe on Thursday, Spanish GDP data for Q2 will be released. However, this is only a final number after the preliminary data released in late July, and the release is not likely to be overly surprising. Later on Thursday there are unemployment data from Germany (8:55BST) and confidence indicators from the eurozone at 10:00BST. Germany also releases preliminary data on the August CPI on Thursday at 13:00BST. Nomura economists are above consensus on a month-on-month harmonized basis by one tenth of a percentage point at 0.1%.

From the US on Thursday, we get the second estimates for Q2 GDP and core PCE. Both the market and our US economics team expect the growth rate (q-o-q annualized) to be revised down by 0.1% to 3.9%. Monthly PCE data will also be released for July, but on the following day (Friday at 13:30BST).

On Friday, Japan provides CPI data (at 0:30BST). Our Japanese team expects data to show that core inflation in July was 3.3% (1.3% after the 2.0% downward revision from the consumption tax hike). Data will also be released for the eurozone, namely CPI and the unemployment rate at 10:00BST on Friday. Markets expect the unemployment rate in July to have remained steady at 11.5% and CPI to have fallen to 0.3% y-o-y in August. Canadian GDP is expected to show a 3.6% q-o-q increase based on estimates by our Canadian economists, although the market expects only a 2.6% increase q-o-q annualized. Both would mark an increase from 1.2% in the previous period.

Related Forex Analysis
  1. Forex News

    OPEC: We await the US to get back to their desks - Rabobank

  2. Forex News

    Video: Euro Faces Another Round of Data, Oil Collapses

  3. Forex News

    US Session: Holidays or no holidays, greenback prevails and Oil dumps

  4. Forex News

    EUR/USD taken lower on demand for the greenback - FXStreet

  5. Forex News

    EUR/USD: neutral bias – (1.2300-1.2650) – BTMU

Trading Center