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Protection First, Profit Second

January 08, 2010 | Filed Under »
Tickers in this Article » AMZN, TX, C, FNM
It's the beginning of a new year and a new decade for the stock market. So the best thing for investors is to make sure they have a clear understanding of what matters most when investing in general and specifically looking at companies. Most investors assume that the first goal in investing is asset appreciation. Capital gain is ultimately what it's all about but before that step, investors must first focus on asset preservation.

IN PICTURES: Eight Ways To Survive A Market Downturn

It's The Balance Sheet

The majority of investment mistakes come from too much reliance on the income statement and too little attention to the balance sheet. Before getting excited about profits, investors must always scrutinize the balance sheet.

Such an approach in 2008 would have kept many investors from names like Citigroup (NYSE:C) and Fannie Mae (NYSE:FNM) when they were trading in the single digits. Despite Citi's share price rise since March of 2009, it started 2009 trading over $7 a share. Today it fetches less than $4.

Indeed, 2008 was a horrible year for just about any stock. But consider Ternium Steel (NYSE:TX), one of Latin America's most profitable steel companies, if not the most profitable. During the second half of 2008, shares declined from $30 to less than $5. The steel industry got hammered along with everything else during the downturn. Ternium was a profitable business, had a low cost of production and had a sound balance sheet. Today, the stock is over $36.

In other words, an investor who bought shares before Lehman Brothers and paid $30 a share or so, is up a total of 20% in about a year and a half. Despite the impressive market rally in 2009, the S&P is barely even from then. For more, check out The Characteristics Of A Successful Company.)

Then The Income Statement

Earnings do matter and ultimately they are the catalyst in moving a stock price up. But if a company does not have a balance sheet for weathering storms, profits are an afterthought. A business that turns a profit but loses money due to a deteriorating balance sheet is destroying value. It's that simple.

Remember, a quality balance sheet is the first step, but not the only step. Valuation then takes over. A company like Amazon (Nasdaq:AMZN) has a great balance sheet and is very profitable, but it's valuation is pricing the company for perfection. (For more, see Earnings: Quality Means Everything.)

A Timeless Lesson
The best mistakes in investing are ones that can be learned from. Mistakes can be very valuable if they prevent the same mistakes from happening over again. Pay more attention to the balance sheet and a lot of unnecessary mistakes may be averted. (For more, see The Value Investor's Handbook.)

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