Bull Vs. Bear: It's Time To Buy Canadian Oil

By Aaron Levitt | November 30, 2012 AAA

Question: Is it time to invest in Canadian Oil?

Bull's Response
The Middle East has long been the world's main source for crude oil and natural gas. Yet, the region continues to be a tinderbox of hostile activity that threatens energy supplies and prices. The latest batch of tensions stem from eight days' worth of fighting in Israel's Gaza Strip. Hostilities between Israel and Hamas resulted in the loss of 167 Palestinians and six Israelis. While this current round of violence has ended in a temporary cease-fire, the fighting bookends the troubles in the region.

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Historically, dysfunction in the Arab world has been a steady constant. However, that violence has intensified over the past few years. Starting with the revolutionary wave of protests in December 2010, called the "The Arab Spring," the Middle East has been a hotbed of action. Various civilian uprisings have caused the ouster of several political regimes, including Libyan dictator Muammar Gaddafi and Egypt's Hosni Mubarak. Likewise, protests across Oman, Kuwait, Bahrain and Iraq have threatened global oil supplies. Back in September, protesters stormed various United States Embassies and compounds across Yemen, Egypt and Libya as the low-budget film "The Innocence Of Islam "- which pokes fun at Prophet Muhammad - made its way around YouTube.

All in all, these issues are enough to make any energy investor sick in the stomach - unless, they look to greener pastures elsewhere.

An Energy Powerhouse
The answer to the world's energy needs and investor profits could lie to our neighbors to the north, in Canada. Similar to the Middle East, the nation features a vast wealth of natural gas, oil and bitumen resources - all in an atmosphere that's much friendlier. According to the Oil & Gas Journal, Canada contained roughly 175 billion barrels of proven oil reserves at the beginning of 2012. Those proven reserves help rank the nation third in the world behind Saudi Arabia and Venezuela. Likewise, Canada's proved natural gas reserves amounted to 61 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) and the nation has an estimated 388 Tcf of technically recoverable shale and unconventional gas resources.

Those huge resources have helped push the nation into the No.6 spot for total worldwide production. Driven by the same widespread adoption of hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling techniques that have helped propel the U.S. forward, Canada has been able to unlock a virtual ocean of trapped oil and natural gas from within its shores. Also like the U.S., part of Canada's plan for using this bounty involves exporting excess inventory to the emerging world.

Canada seems to be making big progress in order to tap this opportunity. After the rejection of TransCanada's (NYSE:TRP) Keystone XL pipeline addition last January, the Canadian government has gotten serious about diversifying its energy exports. New export deals with China and Japan as well as an ambitious new liquefied natural gas (LNG) plants from Apache (NYSE:APA), Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE:RDS-A, RDS-B) and Encana (NYSE:ECA) have begun construction.

Add in a democratic government, currency stability and the rule of law and it's easy to see why investors should focus their energy investments towards the nation.

SEE: A Guide To Investing In Oil Markets

A Big Bet on Canadian Crude
Despite the nation's long-term promise as an energy powerhouse, many American investors have almost zero exposure to our neighbors. Popular international indexes like the iShares MSCI EAFE Index (ARCA:EFA) don't include Canada in their mix. This means investors wanting to add a dose of Canadian energy need to do it via their own means.

The easiest way is through the Guggenheim Canadian Energy Income ETF (ARCA:ENY). The fund tracks 41 different Canadian-based energy producers including Suncor (NYSE:SU), Baytex Energy (NYSE:BTE) and Cenovus (NYSE:CVE). More importantly, it covers the wide range of Canada's energy types including traditional hydrocarbons, unconventional resources and oil sands production. That gives investors plenty of opportunity to forget about the Middle East and its troubles. Add in the 3.58% yield from the funds and cheap expenses and you have a recipe for long-term success.

SEE: Oil And Gas Industry Primer

The Bottom Line
The Middle East may still rank up there when it comes to energy production, but with all the hostility and violence it could be time for investors to look towards safer pastures. In this case, that means Canada. Full of reserves and growing production, "The Land of the Maple Leafs" is undoubtedly one of the best energy-related buys out there.

At the time of writing, Aaron Levitt owned shares of Guggenheim Canadian Energy Income ETF since September 2012.

Don't forget to read the Bear side of this debate and weigh in with your opinion below.

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