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General Motors Among Consumer Cyclical's Biggest Movers

August 16, 2012 | Filed Under »
Tickers in this Article » GM, SWHC, TPX, TEN, DECK, KORS, COLM
The market has been doing well after the morning's trading. The Nasdaq is up 0.8%; the S&P 500 is trading up 0.3%; and the Dow has climbed 0.3%. The consumer cyclical sector is a category of stocks that relies heavily on the business cycle and economic conditions. Consumer cyclicals include industries such as automotive, housing, entertainment and retail. The category can be further divided into durable and non-durable sections. Durable cyclicals include physical goods such as hardware or vehicles, while non-durables represent items like movies or hotel services. The performance of consumer cyclicals is highly related to the state of the economy. They represent goods and services that are not considered necessities, but luxurious purchases. During contractions or recessions, people have less disposable income to spend on consumer cyclicals. When the economy is expanding or booming, the sales of these goods rise as retail and leisure spending increase.

Underperforming the market overall, the Consumer Cyclical sector (XLY) is up 0.3%, and these are its current biggest movers:
CompanyMarket CapPercentage Change
General Motors (NYSE:GM)$31.54 billion+4%
Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation (Nasdaq:SWHC)$561.9 million-3.8%
Tempur-Pedic International Inc. (NYSE:TPX)$1.86 billion+3.3%
Tenneco Inc. (NYSE:TEN)$1.79 billion+2.7%
Deckers Outdoor Corp (Nasdaq:DECK)$1.71 billion+2.6%
Michael Kors Holdings Ltd (NYSE:KORS)$9.52 billion-2.4%
Columbia Sportswear Company (Nasdaq:COLM)$1.76 billion-2.4%
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General (NYSE:GM) is at $20.95 per share after an increase of 4%. The company's volume is currently 4.2 million shares for the day, 0.6 times the current three-month average. Price change alone is not enough to know how a stock is doing. Volume is an important secondary indicator used to confirm trends suggested by price movement. Valuation ratios like the price to earnings (P/E) ratio, the price to earnings growth (PEG) ratio, the price to sales (P/S) ratio, the price to book (P/B) ratio, and the dividend yield are useful in determining how attractive a potential or existing investment is. The price/earnings to growth (PEG) ratio can reveal value what price/earnings (P/E) ratios alone may not so that if a company has a high P/E ratio (an indication that its stock is overpriced) but its earnings are growing very quickly, the PEG ratio may reveal that the company is actually fairly valued, or perhaps even a bargain. GM has a PEG ratio of 0.63, which is consistent with the industry average. Because of the adjustment for earnings growth rate, the PEG ratio is somewhat more useful than many formulas for comparing companies in different industries.



Smith (Nasdaq:SWHC) is currently trading at a share price of $8.27, a 3.8% decline. The company is trading at a volume of 1.4 million shares. This is a sign that there will be less trading activity than there was yesterday. High volume indicates a lot of investor interest while low volume indicates the opposite. When estimating the value of a particular investment, valuation ratios provide a good basis for assessing the value of an individual stock. A company's capitalization (not to be confused with its market capitalization) is the term used to describe the makeup of a company's permanent or long-term capital, which consists of both long-term debt and shareholders' equity. SWHC has a capitalization ratio of 30.7%. This ratio is considered to be one of the more meaningful of the "debt" ratios - it delivers the key insight into the use of leverage by a company.



Tempur-Pedic International (NYSE:TPX) has risen 3.3% and is currently trading at $32.24 per share. At 348,794 shares, the company's volume so far today is 0.3 times the average daily volume. Volume is an important indicator in technical analysis as it is used to measure the worth of a market move. If the markets have made a strong price move either up or down the perceived strength of that move depends on the volume for that period. The higher the volume during that price move the more significant the move. Investment valuation ratios can be very useful in determining the value of a stock, but it is very important to keep in mind that while some financial ratios have general rules (or a broad application), in most instances it is a prudent practice to look at a company's historical performance and use peer company/industry comparisons to put any given company's ratio in perspective. The price/earnings ratio is calculated by taking a stock price and dividing it by the earnings-per-share (EPS). TPX's P/E ratio of 10.3 falls below the industry average of 28.97. A low P/E ratio may indicate that the market expects relatively slower earnings growth. A high or low P/E ratio is not good or bad in and of itself, but a company trading with a high P/E ratio must continue to post strong financial performance or its stock price is likely to fall. SEE: Investment Valuation Ratios: Price/Earnings Ratio





Tenneco (NYSE:TEN) is up 2.7% to reach a current price of $30.61 per share. This morning, the company is trading a volume of 235,534 shares. In technical analysis, trading volume is used to determine the strength of a market indicator. Investment valuation ratios provide investors with an estimation, albeit a simplistic one, of the value of a stock. While measuring a price/earnings ratio (P/E ratio) is a popular valuation technique, the measure cannot be calculated for companies without earnings, so some investors analyze the price/sales ratio. TEN's P/S ratio of 0.22 is fairly low. The lower the P/S ratio, the more reasonably price the stock, all else being equal. It is important to keep in mind when looking at the P/S ratio that just because a company is generating revenues, this does not mean that the company is profitable, and in the long run, profits drive stock prices.



After rising 2.6%, Deckers (Nasdaq:DECK) is currently trading at a share price of $47.39. The company's volume for the day so far is 382,323 shares, 0.3 times its current three-month average. As a stock moves up or down, it is important to pay attention to the trading volume. This indicates the level of interest: the higher the volume, the more the interest. Investment valuation ratios can be very useful in estimating whether a stock price is too high, reasonable or a bargain investment opportunity. The price/book value ratio, often expressed simply as "price-to-book", provides investors a way to compare the market value, or what they are paying for each share, to a conservative measure of the value of the firm. DECK has a P/B ratio of 2.44 which shows that its share price is higher than its book value. This implies that investors expect management to create more value from a given set of assets and/or that the market value of the firm's assets is significantly higher than their accounting value. Users need to be careful when applying this ratio though, as it is more useful for industrial companies that have a lot of tangible assets than it is for technology or consumer product companies that may not have much in the way of hard assets. SEE: Investment Valuation Ratios: Price/Book Value Ratio





Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) is down 2.4% to reach $48.19 per share. The company's volume is currently 3.4 million shares. This is on pace to reach yesterday's trading volume of 5.9 million shares. Volume is also used as a secondary indicator to help confirm what the price movement is suggesting. Valuation ratios allow the investor to make a quick determination as to a company's investment value. The easy-to-calculate debt ratio is helpful to investors looking for a quick take on the leverage for a company. KORS has a debt ratio of 32%, which is fairly low. In other words, the company is less sensitive to changes in business or interest rates since less of its cash flow is dedicated to paying off loan expenses. As with all financial ratios, a company's debt ratio should be compared with the industry average or similar companies.



Columbia Sportswear (Nasdaq:COLM) has decreased to $50.84 per share, a 2.4% fall. So far today, the company's volume is 142,978 shares, 0.9 times the average daily volume. If a stock price moves on high volume, this means that the change is a significant one. A company's value as an investment is more easily estimated using valuation ratios such as the price to earnings (P/E) ratio, the price to earnings growth (PEG) ratio, the price to sales (P/S) ratio, the price to book (P/B) ratio, and the dividend yield. The debt-equity (D/E) ratio compares the total liabilities for a company to its total shareholder equity. COLM's debt-equity ratio of 4% is on the low end. This shows that the company's assets are financed primarily through equity. The D/E ratio percentage provides a much more dramatic perspective on a company's leverage position than the debt ratio percentage.



The Bottom Line The nature of the market is such that stocks will have good days and bad days. Paying close attention to the previous ratios will help you identify key times to adjust your strategy. Keep in mind that all these ratios should be compared against historical numbers and industry information in order to get a more complete picture.

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