We are upgrading our recommendation on Portfolio Recovery, Inc. (
PRAA) to Outperform from Neutral based on its strong cash collections and strategic acquisitions. The company's second quarter earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate and the year-ago earnings on account of strong top-line growth attributable to continuous improvement in cash collections.
Call center, legal and purchased bankruptcy collections drove the topline growth. Even the performance of the fee-for-service business showed improvement after posting weak results in the past few quarters. The balance sheet also strengthened with higher cash and shareholder equity.
Long-term investments are benefiting the core portfolio, while strategic acquisitions are accelerating earnings growth. The credit facility will further enhance the company's liquidity, auguring well for Portfolio Recovery's long-term expansion plans. Our six-month target price of $120.00 per share equates to about 16.8x our earnings estimate for 2012. This target price implies an expected total return of 20% over that period.