Business Cycle Indicators - BCI

AAA

DEFINITION of 'Business Cycle Indicators - BCI'

Composite of leading, lagging and coincident indexes created by the Conference Board and used to forecast changes in the direction of the overall economy of a country. They can be used to confirm or predict the peaks and troughs of the business cycle and are published for the U.S., Mexico, France, the U.K., South Korea, Japan, Germany, Australia and Spain.

INVESTOPEDIA EXPLAINS 'Business Cycle Indicators - BCI'

Interpretation of BCI involves much more than simply reading graphs - an economy is too complex to be summarized with just a few statistics. Although past business cycles have shown patterns that are likely to be repeated to some degree, business cycles can start and end quite quickly for reasons that an indicator may not account for. Thus, investors, traders and corporations must realize that it is unreasonable to believe that any single indicator, or even set of indicators, always gives true signals and never fails to foresee a turning point in an economy.

RELATED TERMS
  1. Business Cycle

    The fluctuations in economic activity that an economy experiences ...
  2. Demographic Dividend

    The freeing up of resources for a country's economic development ...
  3. Macro Environment

    The conditions that exist in the economy as a whole, rather than ...
  4. Consumer Confidence Index - CCI

    A survey by the Conference Board that measures how optimistic ...
  5. Coincident Indicator

    A metric which shows the current state of economic activity within ...
  6. Lagging Indicator

    1. A measurable economic factor that changes after the economy ...
Related Articles
  1. Economics

    Understanding The Consumer Confidence ...

  2. Retirement

    Consumer Confidence: A Killer Statistic

  3. Investing

    What are leading, lagging and coincident ...

  4. Retirement

    Economic Indicators To Know

Hot Definitions
  1. Capitulation

    When investors give up any previous gains in stock price by selling equities in an effort to get out of the market and into ...
  2. Turkey

    Slang for an investment that yields disappointing results or turns out worse than expected. Failed business deals, securities ...
  3. Conduit Issuer

    An organization, usually a government agency, that issues municipal securities to raise capital for revenue-generating projects ...
  4. Financing Entity

    The party in a financing arrangement that provides money, property, or another asset to an intermediate entity or financed ...
  5. Hyperinflation

    Extremely rapid or out of control inflation. There is no precise numerical definition to hyperinflation. Hyperinflation is ...
  6. Gross Rate Of Return

    The total rate of return on an investment before the deduction of any fees or expenses. The gross rate of return is quoted ...
Trading Center