Business Cycle Indicators - BCI

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DEFINITION of 'Business Cycle Indicators - BCI'

Composite of leading, lagging and coincident indexes created by the Conference Board and used to forecast changes in the direction of the overall economy of a country. They can be used to confirm or predict the peaks and troughs of the business cycle and are published for the U.S., Mexico, France, the U.K., South Korea, Japan, Germany, Australia and Spain.

INVESTOPEDIA EXPLAINS 'Business Cycle Indicators - BCI'

Interpretation of BCI involves much more than simply reading graphs - an economy is too complex to be summarized with just a few statistics. Although past business cycles have shown patterns that are likely to be repeated to some degree, business cycles can start and end quite quickly for reasons that an indicator may not account for. Thus, investors, traders and corporations must realize that it is unreasonable to believe that any single indicator, or even set of indicators, always gives true signals and never fails to foresee a turning point in an economy.

RELATED TERMS
  1. Business Cycle

    The fluctuations in economic activity that an economy experiences ...
  2. Demographic Dividend

    The freeing up of resources for a country's economic development ...
  3. Macro Environment

    The conditions that exist in the economy as a whole, rather than ...
  4. Coincident Indicator

    A metric which shows the current state of economic activity within ...
  5. Lagging Indicator

    1. A measurable economic factor that changes after the economy ...
  6. Consumer Confidence Index - CCI

    A survey by the Conference Board that measures how optimistic ...
RELATED FAQS
  1. What are leading, lagging and coincident indicators? What are they for?

    An indicator is anything that can be used to predict future financial or economic trends. For example, the social and economic ... Read Full Answer >>
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