Business Cycle Indicators - BCI


DEFINITION of 'Business Cycle Indicators - BCI'

Composite of leading, lagging and coincident indexes created by the Conference Board and used to forecast changes in the direction of the overall economy of a country. They can be used to confirm or predict the peaks and troughs of the business cycle and are published for the U.S., Mexico, France, the U.K., South Korea, Japan, Germany, Australia and Spain.

BREAKING DOWN 'Business Cycle Indicators - BCI'

Interpretation of BCI involves much more than simply reading graphs - an economy is too complex to be summarized with just a few statistics. Although past business cycles have shown patterns that are likely to be repeated to some degree, business cycles can start and end quite quickly for reasons that an indicator may not account for. Thus, investors, traders and corporations must realize that it is unreasonable to believe that any single indicator, or even set of indicators, always gives true signals and never fails to foresee a turning point in an economy.

  1. Business Cycle

    The fluctuations in economic activity that an economy experiences ...
  2. Demographic Dividend

    The freeing up of resources for a country's economic development ...
  3. Macro Environment

    The conditions that exist in the economy as a whole, rather than ...
  4. Lagging Indicator

    1. A measurable economic factor that changes after the economy ...
  5. Recession

    A significant decline in activity across the economy, lasting ...
  6. Leading Indicator

    A measurable economic factor that changes before the economy ...
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  1. What are leading, lagging and coincident indicators? What are they for?

    An indicator is anything that can be used to predict future financial or economic trends. For example, the social and economic ... Read Full Answer >>
  2. What economic indicators are important to consider when investing in the retail sector?

    The unemployment rate and Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) rank as two of the most important economic indicators to consider ... Read Full Answer >>
  3. When phase of the economic cycle tends to be strongest for companies in the retail ...

    The economic cycle has four phases. The expansionary phase occurs when the economy is growing. During this phase, cyclical ... Read Full Answer >>
  4. What is the average length of the boom and bust cycle in the U.S. economy?

    The boom and bust, better defined as expansion and contraction, business cycles of the U.S. economy averaged 38.7 months ... Read Full Answer >>
  5. What types of expenses are factored into autonomous consumption?

    Autonomous consumption is the level of consumption necessary to support everyday life in a zero-income scenario. Put another ... Read Full Answer >>
  6. During what stage of the economic cycle should I invest in the telecommunications ...

    Later stages of the economic cycle are the best time to invest in the telecommunications sector. Late stages are characterized ... Read Full Answer >>

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