Nova/Ursa Ratio

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DEFINITION of 'Nova/Ursa Ratio'

A sentiment indicator based on the Nova and Ursa funds from the Rydex Fund Group. The Nova fund is bullish with a target beta of 1.5. Whereas, the Ursa fund is bearish with a target beta of -1.0. This ratio can be used as a proxy for the direction of market sentiment. More specifically, a high value represents a bullish sentiment and a low value represents a bearish sentiment.

Calculated as:

Nova/Ursa Ratio

INVESTOPEDIA EXPLAINS 'Nova/Ursa Ratio'

For example, A beta of 1.5 means that Nova has a target of 150% of the S&P 500 Index. Ursa's -1.0 means it has a target performance inverse to the S&P 500 Index. That is, if the S&P 500 is down 10%, Ursa should be up 10%.

Rather than just measuring someone's opinion about market direction, this ratio shows where people actually are putting their money.

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RELATED FAQS
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    The Nova/Ursa ratio is a contrary indicator designed to gauge market sentiment among retail investors. The ratio gets its ... Read Full Answer >>
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    A bull market is represented by a rising price trend, and a bear market is indicated by a falling price trend. Given this ... Read Full Answer >>
  3. Where did the bull and bear market get their names?

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