Nova/Ursa Ratio

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DEFINITION of 'Nova/Ursa Ratio'

A sentiment indicator based on the Nova and Ursa funds from the Rydex Fund Group. The Nova fund is bullish with a target beta of 1.5. Whereas, the Ursa fund is bearish with a target beta of -1.0. This ratio can be used as a proxy for the direction of market sentiment. More specifically, a high value represents a bullish sentiment and a low value represents a bearish sentiment.

Calculated as:

Nova/Ursa Ratio

INVESTOPEDIA EXPLAINS 'Nova/Ursa Ratio'

For example, A beta of 1.5 means that Nova has a target of 150% of the S&P 500 Index. Ursa's -1.0 means it has a target performance inverse to the S&P 500 Index. That is, if the S&P 500 is down 10%, Ursa should be up 10%.

Rather than just measuring someone's opinion about market direction, this ratio shows where people actually are putting their money.

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RELATED FAQS
  1. How do I use the Nova/Ursa ratio?

    The Nova/Ursa ratio is a contrary indicator designed to gauge market sentiment among retail investors. The ratio gets its ... Read Full Answer >>
  2. Are we in a bull market or a bear market?

    A bull market is represented by a rising price trend, and a bear market is indicated by a falling price trend. Given this ... Read Full Answer >>
  3. Where did the bull and bear market get their names?

    First of all, let's remember that bears are sluggish and bulls spirited and burly. The terms are used to describe general ... Read Full Answer >>
  4. How can I calculate the tracking error of an ETF or indexed mutual fund?

    Calculate the tracking error of an indexed exchange-trade fund (ETF) or mutual fund by doing a standard deviation percentage ... Read Full Answer >>
  5. How do you calculate the excess return of an ETF or indexed mutual fund?

    For exchange-traded funds (ETFs), the excess return should be equal to the risk-adjusted (or beta) measure that exceeds the ... Read Full Answer >>
  6. What is the difference between the cost of capital and the discount rate?

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