Objective Probability
Definition of 'Objective Probability'The probability that an event will occur based an analysis in which each measure is based on a recorded observation, rather than a subjective estimate. Objective probabilities are a more accurate way to determine probabilities than observations based on subjective measures, such as personal estimates. |
|
Investopedia explains 'Objective Probability'For example, one could determine the objective probability that a coin will land "heads" up by flipping it 100 times and recording each observation. When performing any statistical analysis, it is important for each observation to be an independent event that has not been subject to manipulation. The less biased each observation is, the less biased the end probability will be. |
Related Definitions
Articles Of Interest
-
Find The Right Fit With Probability Distributions
Discover a few of the most popular probability distributions and how to calculate them. -
Using Historical Volatility To Gauge Future Risk
Use these calculations to uncover the risk involved in your investments. -
Regression Basics For Business Analysis
This tool is easy to use and can provide valuable information on financial analysis and forecasting. Find out how. -
Breaking Down The Geometric Mean
Understanding portfolio performance, whether for a self-managed, discretionary portfolio or a non-discretionary portfolio, is vital to determining whether the portfolio strategy is working or ... -
Tracking Volatility: How The VIX Is Calculated
When market volatility spikes or stalls, newspapers, websites, bloggers and television commentators all refer to the VIX®. Formally known as the CBOE Volatility Index, the VIX is a benchmark ... -
Arbitrage Squeezes Profit From Market Inefficiency
This influential strategy capitalizes on the relationship between price and liquidity. -
Quants: The Rocket Scientists Of Wall Street
Blend math, finance and computer skills to command a high - and well deserved - salary. -
Calculating The Means
Learn more about the different ways you can calculate your portfolio's average return. -
R-Squared
Learn more about this statistical measurement used to represent movement between a security and its benchmark. -
Mitigating Downside With The Sortino Ratio
Differentiate between good and bad volatility with the Sortino Ratio.
Free Annual Reports