DEFINITION of 'Zeta Model'
A mathematical formula developed in the 1960s by NYU Professor Edward Altman that attempts to express the chances of a public company going bankrupt within a twoyear time period. The number produced by the model is referred to as the company's Zscore, which is a reasonably accurate predictor of future bankruptcy. The model is specified as:
Where:
Z = Score
A = Working Capital/Total Assets
B = Retained Earnings/Total Assets
C = Earnings Before Interest & Tax/Total Assets
D = Market Value of Equity/Total Liabilities
E = Sales/Total Assets
BREAKING DOWN 'Zeta Model'
The zeta model returns a single number, the zscore, to represent the likelihood of a company going bankrupt in the next two years. The lower the zscore, the more likely a company is to go bankrupt. A zscore lower than 1.8 indicates that bankruptcy is likely, while scores greater than 3.0 indicate bankruptcy is unlikely to occur in the next two years. Companies that have a zscore between 1.8 and 3.0 are in the gray area, bankruptcy is not easily predicted one way or the other.

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