By the summer of 2007, global financial markets had begun to show signs that the bill for a years-long binge on cheap credit was coming due. Two Bear Stearns hedge funds had collapsed, BNP Paribas was warning investors that they might not be able to withdraw money from two of its funds, and the British bank Northern Rock would soon seek emergency funding from the Bank of England.
Yet despite the warning signs, few investors suspected that the worst crisis in nearly eight decades was about to engulf the global financial system, bringing Wall Street's giants to their knees and triggering the Great Recession. It was an epic financial and economic collapse which cost many ordinary people their jobs and retirement accounts.
- The financial crisis stretched over more than a year, culminating in the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 and the Wall Street bailout that quickly followed.
- While the Great Recession officially ended in 2009, many people felt its effects for years to come as the job market and home prices remained depressed.
Sowing the Seeds
The seeds of the financial crisis were planted during years of rock-bottom interest rates that fueled a housing bubble in the U.S. and elsewhere. Faced with the bursting of the dot-com bubble, a series of corporate accounting scandals and the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks, the Federal Reserve lowered the Federal funds rate from 6.5% in May 2000 to 1% in June 2003—flooding the economy with cheap money.
The result was an upward spiral in home prices as borrowers took advantage of the low mortgage rates, and even subprime borrowers were able to realize the dream of buying a home. Lenders then sold those loans on to Wall Street banks, which packaged them into what were billed as low-risk financial instruments such as mortgage-backed securities and collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). Soon a big secondary market for originating and distributing subprime loans developed.
Fueling greater risk-taking among banks, the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) in October 2004 relaxed the net capital requirement for five investment banks—Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), Merrill Lynch (NYSE:MER), Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS)—which freed them to leverage up to 30 times or even 40 times their initial investment.
The 2007-08 Financial Crisis In Review
Signs of Trouble
Eventually interest rates started rising and home ownership reached a saturation point. The Fed started raising rates in June 2004, and two years later the Federal funds rate had reached 5.25%, where it remained until August 2007.
There were early signs of distress. By 2004, U.S. homeownership had peaked at 70%. Then, during the last quarter of 2005, home prices started to fall, which led to a 40% decline in the U.S. Home Construction Index during 2006. Not only were new homes being affected, but many subprime borrowers with adjustable interest rates couldn't handle the higher rates and started defaulting on their loans.
As 2007 got under way, one subprime lender or another was filing for bankruptcy. During February and March, more than 25 subprime lenders did so. In April, well-known New Century Financial, which specialized in sub-prime lending, filed for bankruptcy and laid off half of its workforce.
By June, Bear Stearns stopped redemptions in two of its hedge funds, prompting Merrill Lynch to seize $800 million in assets from the funds. But even this was a small matter compared to what was to happen in the months ahead.
August 2007: The Dominoes Start to Fall
It became apparent by August 2007 that the financial market could not solve the subprime crisis and the problems spread beyond the U.S.'s borders. The interbank market froze completely, largely due to prevailing fear of the unknown amidst banks. Northern Rock had to approach the Bank of England for emergency funding due to a liquidity problem. In October 2007, Swiss bank UBS became the first major bank to announce losses—$3.4 billion—from sub-prime related investments.
In the coming months, the Federal Reserve and other major central banks would take coordinated action to provide billions of dollars in loans to global credit markets, which were seizing up dramatically as asset prices fell and financial institutions struggled to assess the value of the trillions of dollars worth of now-toxic mortgage-backed securities.
March 2008: The Demise of Bear Stearns
By the winter of 2008, the U.S. economy was in a full-blown recession and, as financial institutions' liquidity struggles continued, global stock markets were tumbling the most since the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks. In January 2008, the Fed cut its benchmark rate by three quarters of a percentage point — its biggest cut in a quarter century, as it sought to slow the economic slide.
The Fed started slashing the discount rate as well as the funds rate, but bad news continued to pour in from all sides. In February, the British government was forced to nationalize Northern Rock. In March, global investment bank Bear Stearns, a pillar of Wall Street that dated to 1923, essentially collapsed and was acquired by JP Morgan Chase for pennies on the dollar.
September 2008: The Fall of Lehman Brothers
By the autumn of 2008, carnage was widespread across the financial sector. IndyMac Bank became one of the largest banks ever to fail in the U.S., and the country's two biggest home lenders—Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac—had been seized by the U.S. government.
Yet the collapse of the venerable Wall Street bank Lehman Brothers in September marked the largest bankruptcy in U.S. history, and for many was a symbol of the devastation caused by the global financial crisis. That same month, financial markets were in free fall, with the major U.S. indexes suffering some of their worst losses on record as the Fed, Treasury Department, White House and Congress struggled to put forward a comprehensive plan to stop the bleeding and restore confidence in the economy.
The Wall Street bailout package was approved in the first week of October 2008. Its passage stabilized stock markets, which would hit bottom in March 2009 and begin the longest bull market on record. Still, the economic damage was immense. Though the Great Recession officially ended in 2009, many ordinary people suffered from its effects for years after as the job market was slow to recover and housing prices remained suppressed.