Many financial advisors and academics do not recommend selling stocks and mutual funds when prices are tumbling during bear markets. If you can just hold on through thick and thin, they argue, you are likely to enjoy returns better than any other asset class over the long run. Mutual funds can produce an average annual yield of 6.5% to 7% after inflation, according to Jeremy Siegel's classic book "Stocks for the Long Run." However, there are occasions when selling a mutual fund might be warranted; buy and hold is not forever. Here we look at the top eight reasons for selling a mutual fund. (See also: Mutual Fund Basics.)
Over time, trends in financial markets might cause asset allocations to diverge from desired settings. In other words, some mutual funds can grow to a large proportion of the portfolio, exposing you to a different level of risk.
To avoid this outcome, the portfolio can be rebalanced periodically by selling units in funds that have relatively large weights, and transferring the proceeds to funds that have relatively small weights. Under this rule, the time to sell equity mutual funds is when they have enjoyed good gains over an extended bull market and the percentage allocated to them has drifted up too high. (See also: Rebalance Your Portfolio to Stay on Track.)
Mutual Fund Changes or Mismanagement
Mutual funds might change in a number of ways that can be at odds with your original reasons for buying. For example, a star portfolio manager could jump ship and be replaced by someone lacking the same capabilities. Or there may be style drift, which arises when a manager gradually alters his or her investing approach over time. (See also: Style Drift Can Hurt Mutual Fund Returns and Should You Follow Your Fund Manager?)
Other signals to move on include an upward trend in annual management expense ratios (MERs), or a fund that has grown large relative to the market. If the fund has grown large compared to the market, managers could have difficulty differentiating their portfolios from the market, in order to earn above-market returns.
As you gain experience and acquire more wealth, you may outgrow mutual funds. With greater wealth comes the ability to buy enough individual stocks, to achieve adequate diversification and avoid MERs. With greater knowledge comes the confidence to do it yourself, whether it is actively picking stocks or buying and holding market indexes, through exchange-traded funds.
Life Cycle Changes
Although stocks historically have been the best investments to own over the long run, their volatility makes them unreliable vehicles in the short term. When retirement, children's post-secondary educations or some other funding deadlines approach, it is a good idea to shift out of stock-market funds into assets that have more certain returns, such as bonds or term deposits, whose maturities coincide with the time that the funds will be needed. (See also: The Seasons of an Investor's Life.)
Sometimes, investors' due diligence is incomplete and they end up owning funds they otherwise would not have purchased. For example, the investor might discover that the fund is too volatile for their tastes.
Portfolio errors might also have been committed by the investor. A common mistake is overdiversifying with too many funds, which can be difficult to keep tabs on and can tend to average out to market performance. It is common to confuse owning a large number of funds with diversification. A large number of funds will not smooth out fluctuations, if they tend to move in the same direction. What is needed is a collection of funds of which some can be expected to be up when others are down.
Shift out of mutual funds to rebalance your fixed portfolio allocations by using a flexible or opportunistic approach. A common valuation yardstick is the price-earnings (P/E) ratio for U.S. stocks. They have averaged a 14 to 15 P/E over time, so if it rises to 24 to 26, valuations are overextended and the risk of a downturn is elevated. (See also: P/E Ratio: Introduction.)
Something Better Comes Along
Investing legend Sir John Templeton advised selling whenever something better came along. In the mutual fund realm, some funds can come onto the market with innovations that are better at doing what your fund is doing. Or, over time, it may become apparent other portfolio managers are performing better against the same benchmarks.
Mutual funds held in taxable accounts, might be down substantially from their purchase price. They can be sold to realize capital losses that are used to offset taxable capital gains and thus lower taxes.
If the sale was solely to realize a capital loss for taxation purposes, the investor will want to re-establish the position after the 30-day period required to avoid the superficial-loss rule. The investor might take a chance that the price will be the same or lower.
Tax-loss selling tends to occur during August to late December. That's also the period when many funds have estimated the capital gains and income they will be distributing to investors, at year's end. These amounts are taxable for investors, so this is an additional reason to sell a losing fund. (See also: Capital Gains Tax 101.)
The Bottom Line
Although these eight reasons may compel you to consider getting rid of your fund, remember to keep the impact of deferred sales charges, short-term trading fees and taxes in mind whenever you sell. If these other factors don't fall in your favor, it may not be the best time to get out.