How Does Beta Measure a Stock's Market Risk?

Beta is a statistical measure of the volatility of a stock versus the overall market. It's generally used as both a measure of systematic risk and a performance measure. The market is described as having a beta of 1. The beta for a stock describes how much the stock's price moves compared to the market. If a stock has a beta above 1, it's more volatile than the overall market. For example, if an asset has a beta of 1.3, it's theoretically 30% more volatile than the market. Stocks generally have a positive beta since they are correlated to the market.

Key Takeaways

  • Beta is a statistical measure of the volatility of a stock versus the overall market.
  • A beta above 1 means a stock is more volatile than the overall market.
  • A beta below 1 means a stock is less volatile than the overall market.
  • The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq 100 are frequently used beta measures.

If the beta is below 1, the stock either has lower volatility than the market, or it's a volatile asset whose price movements are not highly correlated with the overall market. The price of Treasury bills (T-bills) has a beta lower than 1 because T-bills don't move in relation to the overall market.

Many consider stocks in the utility sector to have betas less than 1 since they're not very volatile. Gold, on the other hand, is quite volatile but has tended to move inversely to the market. Lower beta stocks with less volatility do not carry as much risk, but they generally provide less opportunity for a higher return.

Put options and inverse exchange-traded funds are designed to have negative betas.

Beta Coefficient

The beta coefficient is calculated by dividing the covariance of the stock return versus the market return by the variance of the market. Beta is used in the calculation of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM). This model calculates the required return for an asset versus its risk. The required return is calculated by taking the risk-free rate plus the risk premium. The risk premium is found by taking the market return minus the risk-free rate and multiplying it by the beta.

Popular Indexes Used as a Beta Measure

The market against which to measure beta is often represented by a stock index. The most commonly used stock index is the S&P 500. The S&P 500 is used as the measure because of the high number of large-cap stocks included in the index and the broad number of sectors included. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has also previously been the main measure of the market, but it has fallen out of favor since it only includes 30 companies and is very limited in its breadth. In recent years, the outperformance of FAANG stocks has made the Nasdaq 100 a popular beta measure among investors and traders.

Using Beta to Measure Hedge Fund Performance

Beta is an important concept for the analysis of hedge funds. It can show the relationship between a hedge fund’s returns and the market return. Beta can show how much risk the fund is taking in certain asset classes and can be used to measure against other benchmarks, such as fixed income or even hedge fund indexes. This measure can help investors determine how much capital to allocate to a hedge fund or whether they would be better off keeping their exposure in the equity market or even cash.

Using Beta to Determine What Stocks to Trade

Active traders typically look for stocks with higher volatility than the broader stock market to exploit short-term price fluctuations. Scanning for stocks that have a beta above 2 quickly finds suitable trading candidates that move twice as much as the S&P 500 Index. Traders can use sites like Finviz.com that provides a free screener to run a scan.

To begin, select the "Technical" tab within the "Filters" section. Under the "Beta" tab, select "Over 2" from the dropdown menu. This displays a list of stocks that have a beta higher than 2. Traders can add additional filters, such as country, exchange, and index. Alternatively, Longer-term investors who favor defensive stocks can use the screener to find candidates with a beta below 1.

Image depicting Finviz beta screener.
Finviz.com.
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