Hedging vs. Speculation: An Overview
Speculators and hedgers are different terms that describe traders and investors. Speculation involves trying to make a profit from a security's price change, whereas hedging attempts to reduce the amount of risk, or volatility, associated with a security's price change.
Hedging involves taking an offsetting position in a derivative in order to balance any gains and losses to the underlying asset. Hedging attempts to eliminate the volatility associated with the price of an asset by taking offsetting positions contrary to what the investor currently has. The main purpose of speculation, on the other hand, is to profit from betting on the direction in which an asset will be moving.
- Hedging tries to cut the amount of risk or volatility connected with a change in the price of a security.
- Speculation concerns attempting to make a profit from a security's price change and is more vulnerable to market fluctuations.
- Hedgers are seen as risk-averse and speculators as risk-lovers.
Hedgers reduce their risk by taking an opposite position in the market to what they are trying to hedge. The ideal situation in hedging would be to cause one effect to cancel out another. It is a risk-neutralizing strategy.
For example, assume that a company specializes in producing jewelry and it has a major contract due in six months, for which gold is one of the company's main inputs. The company is worried about the volatility of the gold market and believes that gold prices may increase substantially in the near future. In order to protect itself from this uncertainty, the company could buy a six-month futures contract in gold. This way, if gold experiences a 10 percent price increase, the futures contract will lock in a price that will offset this gain.
As you can see, although hedgers are protected from any losses, they are also restricted from any gains. The portfolio is diversified but still exposed to systematic risk. Depending on a company's policies and the type of business it runs, it may choose to hedge against certain business operations to reduce fluctuations in its profit and protect itself from any downside risk.
To mitigate this risk, the investor hedges their portfolio by shorting futures contracts on the market and buying put options against the long positions in the portfolio. On the other hand, if a speculator notices this situation, they may look to short an exchange-traded fund (ETF) and a futures contract on the market to make a potential profit on a downside move.
Speculators trade based on their educated guesses on where they believe the market is headed. For example, if a speculator believes that a stock is overpriced, they may sell short the stock and wait for the price to decline, at which point it can be bought back for a profit.
Speculators are vulnerable to both the downside and upside of the market; therefore, speculation can be extremely risky.
Hedgers try to reduce the risks associated with uncertainty, while speculators bet against the movements of the market to try to profit from fluctuations in the price of securities.
Hedging vs. Speculation Example
It's important to note that hedging is not the same as portfolio diversification. Diversification is a portfolio management strategy that investors use to smooth out specific risk in one investment, while hedging helps to decrease one's losses by taking an offsetting position. If an investor wants to reduce their overall risk, the they should not put all of their money into one investment. Investors can spread out their money into multiple investments to reduce risk.
For example, suppose an investor has $500,000 to invest. The investor can diversify and put money into multiple stocks in various sectors, real estate, and bonds. This technique helps to diversify unsystematic risk; in other words, it protects the investor from being affected by any individual event in an investment.
When an investor is worried about an adverse price decline in their investment, the investor can hedge their investment with an offsetting position to be protected. For example, suppose an investor is invested in 100 shares of stock in oil company XYZ and feels that the recent drop in oil prices will have an adverse effect on its earnings. The investor does not have enough capital to diversify their position; instead, the investor decides to hedge their position by buying options for protection. The investor can purchase one put option to protect against a drop in the stock price, and pays a small premium for the option. If XYZ misses its earnings estimates and prices fall, the investor will lose money on their long position but will make money on the put option, which limits losses.