- J.B. Hunt shares moved sharply higher after Citi upgraded the stock to a Buy with a $165 price target – a 19.5% premium to Tuesday's closing price.
- Analyst Christian Wetherbee believes that the company could benefit from a multi-year earnings growth cycle similar to 2012-2015.
- The move comes amid an ongoing recovery in the freight industry over the past few months, which has boosted companies across the sector.
Citi analyst Christian Wetherbee sees a multi-year earnings growth cycle similar to 2012-2015, which could result in 80% to 100% earnings growth over three years. In addition, the analyst believes that the emerging segments could swing to profitability and power out-year growth.
The freight industry has seen a V-shaped recovery over the past few months. In October, the Cass Freight Index increased 2.4% over the prior year in a dramatic improvement over the prior month's 1.8% decline. Rail volumes also improved during October.
From a technical standpoint, the stock moved to retest prior highs and trendline resistance. The relative strength index (RSI) moved toward overbought territory with a reading of 65.05, while the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) could see a bullish crossover. These indicators suggest that the stock has more room to run before consolidation.
V-shaped recovery is a type of economic recession and recovery that resembles a "V" shape in charting. Specifically, a V-shaped recovery represents the shape of a chart of economic measures economists create when examining recessions and recoveries. A V-shaped recovery involves a sharp rise back to a previous peak after a sharp decline in these metrics.
Traders should watch for a breakout from trendline resistance over the coming sessions. If the stock breaks out, traders should watch for a move toward fresh highs. If the stock fails to break out, traders could see a move toward the 50-day moving average at $133.34 or a move toward reaction lows of around $119.22, although that seems less likely to occur.
The Bottom Line
J.B. Hunt shares moved sharply higher during Wednesday's session after Citi upgraded the stock to a Buy with a $165 price target. Analyst Christian Wetherbee believes that the company could benefit from a multi-year earnings growth cycle. Traders should watch for a breakout from trendline resistance, although the RSI is reaching overbought levels.
The author holds no position in the stock(s) mentioned except through passively managed index funds.