What Is the Macaulay Duration
The Macaulay duration is the weighted average term to maturity of the cash flows from a bond. The weight of each cash flow is determined by dividing the present value of the cash flow by the price. Macaulay duration is frequently used by portfolio managers who use an immunization strategy.
Macaulay duration can be calculated:
Macaulay Duration=Current Bond Price∑t=1n((1+y)tt×C+(1+y)nn×M)where:t=respective time periodC=periodic coupon paymenty=periodic yieldn=total number of periodsM=maturity valueCurrent Bond Price=present value of cash flows
Understanding the Macaulay Duration
The metric is named after its creator, Frederick Macaulay. The Macaulay duration can be viewed as the economic balance point of a group of cash flows. Another way to interpret the statistic is that it is the weighted average number of years an investor must maintain a position in the bond until the present value of the bond's cash flows equals the amount paid for the bond.
Factors Affecting Duration
A bond's price, maturity, coupon and yield to maturity all factor into the calculation of duration. All else equal, as maturity increases, duration increases. As a bond's coupon increases, its duration decreases. As interest rates increase, duration decreases and the bond's sensitivity to further interest rate increases go down. Also, sinking fund in place, a scheduled prepayment before maturity and call provisions lower a bond's duration.
The calculation of Macaulay duration is straightforward. Assume a $1,000 face value bond that pays a 6% coupon and matures in three years. Interest rates are 6% per annum with semiannual compounding. The bond pays the coupon twice a year, and pays the principal on the final payment. Given this, the following cash flows are expected over the next three years:
Period 1:$30Period 2:$30Period 3:$30Period 4:$30Period 5:$30Period 6:$1,030
With the periods and the cash flows known, a discount factor must be calculated for each period. This is calculated as 1 / (1 + r)n, where r is the interest rate and n is the period number in question. The interest rate, r, compounded semiannually is 6%/2 = 3%. Thus the discount factors would be:
Period 1 Discount Factor:1÷(1+.03)1=0.9709Period 2 Discount Factor:1÷(1+.03)2=0.9426Period 3 Discount Factor:1÷(1+.03)3=0.9151Period 4 Discount Factor:1÷(1+.03)4=0.8885Period 5 Discount Factor:1÷(1+.03)5=0.8626Period 6 Discount Factor:1÷(1+.03)6=0.8375
Next, multiply the period's cash flow by the period number and by its corresponding discount factor to find the present value of the cash flow:
Period 1:1×$30×0.9709=$29.13Period 2:2×$30×0.9426=$56.56Period 3:3×$30×0.9151=$82.36Period 4:4×$30×0.8885=$106.62Period 5:5×$30×0.8626=$129.39Period 6:6×$1,030×0.8375=$5,175.65 Period =1∑6=$5,579.71=numerator
Current Bond Price= PV Cash Flows =1∑6Current Bond Price=30÷(1+.03)1+30÷(1+.03)2Current Bond Price=+⋯+1030÷(1+.03)6Current Bond Price=$1,000Current Bond Price=denominator
(Note that since the coupon rate and interest rate are the same, the bond will trade at par)
A coupon paying bond will always have its duration less than its time to maturity. In the example above, the duration of 5.58 half-years is less than the time to maturity of six half-years. In other words, 5.58/2 = 2.79 years is less than three years.
(For further reading, see Macauley Duration vs. Modified Duration)