What Is Nominal Gross Domestic Product?
Nominal gross domestic product is gross domestic product (GDP) evaluated at current market prices. GDP is the monetary value of all the goods and services produced in a country. Nominal differs from real GDP in that it includes changes in prices due to inflation, which reflects the rate of price increases in an economy.
- Nominal GDP assesses economic production in an economy but includes the current prices of goods and services in its calculation.
- GDP is typically measured as the monetary value of goods and services produced.
- Since nominal GDP doesn't remove the pace of rising prices when comparing one period to another, it can inflate the growth figure.
- Growing nominal GDP from year to year may reflect a rise in prices as opposed to growth in the number of goods and services produced.
- Real GDP starts with nominal GDP but factors in price change between periods.
Nominal vs. Real GDP
Understanding Nominal Gross Domestic Product
Gross domestic product is one of the ways to measure the health and well-being of a nation's economy. It's the total value of all goods and services that are produced during a certain period of time less the value of those that are employed during the production process.
Nominal GDP is an assessment of economic production in an economy that includes current prices in its calculation. In other words, it doesn't strip out inflation or the pace of rising prices, which can inflate the growth figure. All goods and services counted in nominal GDP are valued at the prices that are actually sold for in that year.
Effects of Inflation on Nominal GDP
Because it is measured in current prices, growing nominal GDP from year to year might reflect a rise in prices as opposed to growth in the number of goods and services produced. If all prices rise more or less together, known as inflation, then this will make nominal GDP appear greater. Inflation is a negative force for economic participants because it diminishes the purchasing power of income and savings, both for consumers and investors.
Inflation is most commonly measured using the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or the Producer Price Index (PPI). The CPI measures price changes from the buyer's perspective or how they impact the consumer. The PPI, on the other hand, measures the average change in selling prices that are paid to producers in the economy.
When the overall price level of the economy rises, consumers have to spend more to purchase the same amount of goods. If an individual’s income rises by 10% in a given period but inflation rises 10% as well, then the individual’s real income (or purchasing power) is unchanged. The term real in real income merely reflects the income after inflation has been subtracted from the figure.
The U.S. is the world's largest economy, followed by China and Japan.
Nominal GDP vs. Real GDP
The nominal GDP growth might overstate the growth if inflation is present if we compare GDP growth between two periods. Economists use the prices of goods from a base year as a reference point when comparing GDP from one year to another. This price difference is called the GDP price deflator. For example, if prices rose by 1% since the base year, the GDP deflator would be 1.01. Overall, real GDP is a better measure any time the comparison is over multiple years.
Real GDP starts with nominal GDP but factors in price change from one period to another. Real GDP takes the total output for GDP and divides it by the GDP deflator. Let's say the current year's nominal GDP output was $2,000,000 while the GDP deflator showed a 1% increase in prices since the base year. Real GDP would be calculated as $2,000,000/1.01 or $1,980,198 for the year.
One of the limitations of using nominal GDP is when an economy is mired in recession or a period of negative GDP growth. Negative nominal GDP growth could be due to a decrease in prices, called deflation. If prices declined at a greater rate than production growth, nominal GDP might reflect an overall negative growth rate in the economy. A negative nominal GDP would be signaling a recession when, in reality, production growth was positive.