What Is Population?
A population is a distinct group of individuals, whether that group comprises a nation or a group of people with a common characteristic. In statistics, a population is the pool of individuals from which a statistical sample is drawn for a study. Thus, any selection of individuals grouped together by a common feature can be said to be a population.
A sample is a statistically significant portion of a population, not an entire population. For this reason, a statistical analysis of a sample must report the approximate standard deviation, or standard error, of its results from the entire population. Only an analysis of an entire population would have no standard error.
- In ordinary usage, a population is a distinct group of individuals with shared citizenship, identity, or characteristic.
- In statistics, a population is a representative sample of a larger group of people (or even things) with one or more characteristics in common.
- The members of a sample population must be randomly selected for the results of the study to accurately reflect the whole.
- The U.S. Census is perhaps the most ambitious survey in existence, given that it entails a door-to-door canvas of the entire population rather than a sample group study.
- Population surveys large and small inform many if not most decisions by government and business.
The United Nations designated July 11 as World Population Day.
In most uses, the word population implies a group of people or at least a group of living beings. However, statisticians refer to whatever group they are studying as a population. The population of a study might be babies born in North America in 2021, the total number of tech startups in Asia since the year 2000, the average height of all accounting examination candidates, or the mean weight of U.S. taxpayers.
Statisticians and researchers prefer to know the characteristics of every entity in a population in order to draw the most precise conclusions possible. This is impossible or impractical most of the time, however, since population sets tend to be quite large.
For example, if a company wanted to know whether most of its 50,000 customers were satisfied with the company's service last year, it would be impractical to call every client on the phone to conduct a survey. A sample of the population must be taken since the characteristics of every individual in a population cannot be measured due to constraints of time, resources, and accessibility.
The world's population by the middle of the 21st century, according to the United Nations.
How to Calculate a Population
A population can be defined narrowly, such as the number of newborn babies in North America with brown eyes, the number of startups in Asia that failed in less than three years, the average height of all female accounting examination candidates, or the mean weight of all U.S. taxpayers over age 30.
The science of political polling offers a good example of the difficulty of selecting a random sampling of the population. One of the reasons why many of the last two presidential election polls have been wrong could be that the type of people who willingly answer poll questions may not constitute a random sample of the population of likely voters.
Nonetheless, surveys and polls may be the only efficient way to identify and validate issues and trends that affect the wider population. For example, growing concerns have been expressed about harassment online, but how common is it, really? A study by Pew Research indicates that 41% of American adults have experienced online harassment, with 11% reporting they had been outright stalked, and 14% saying they had been physically threatened.
A sample is a random selection of members of a population. It is a smaller group drawn from the population that has the characteristics of the entire population. The observations and conclusions made against the sample data are attributed to the population as a whole.
The information obtained from the statistical sample allows statisticians to develop hypotheses about the larger population. In statistical equations, population is usually denoted with an uppercase N while the sample is usually denoted with a lowercase n.
A parameter is data based on an entire population. Statistics such as averages and standard deviations, when taken from populations, are referred to as population parameters. The population mean and population standard deviation are represented by the Greek letters µ and σ, respectively.
A valid statistic may be drawn from either a population sample or a study of an entire population. The objective of a random sample is to avoid bias in the results. A sample is random if every member of the whole population has an equal chance to be selected to participate.
While a parameter is a characteristic of a population, a statistic is a characteristic of a sample. Inferential statistics enables you to make an educated guess about a population parameter based on a statistic computed from a sample randomly drawn from that population.
The standard deviation is the variation in the population that is inferred from the variation in the sample. When the standard deviation is divided by the square root of the number of observations in the sample, the result is referred to as the standard error of the mean.
Real-World Examples of Population
Population statistics inform public policy and business decisions. Some examples:
- The World Bank is an international organization that aims to reduce global poverty by lending money to poor nations for projects that improve their economies and raise their overall standard of living. In order to pinpoint where help is most needed, the Bank conducts an authoritative, country-by-country headcount based on local data of people living in extreme poverty. The numbers fell steadily from over 40% of the global population in 1985 to as low as 9.2% in 2017, according to the Bank. However, in 2020, the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic was expected to cause the first yearly increase in extreme poverty in more than 20 years.
- The U.S. Census, mandated once a decade by the U.S. Constitution, is probably the most ambitious population study in existence, given that it is not a sample but an actual door-to-door count. It is used to determine how many congressional seats each state gets and how federal funds are distributed. The data also is used by many other entities, private and public, to decide where hospitals and schools are built, where businesses locate, and what types of homes are built.
- The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has been conducting a National Health Interview Survey since 1957 in order to identify and track health issues and problems. Its recent reports include studies of chronic conditions among military veterans, opioid-related visits to emergency wards, and the quality of care for Americans suffering from dementia.
Here are some answers to the most frequently asked questions about the population of the world, and the population of a study.
What Will the World Population Be in 2050?
The world population is expected to grow from 7.7 billion in 2019 to 9.7 billion in 2050, according to a projection by the United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs. The greatest growth is expected in sub-Sarahan Africa, where the population may double, while Europe and North America are expected to have the least growth, at just 2%.
What Are the 10 Countries with the Largest Populations?
China and India have by far the largest populations in the world, as of 2019. Here are the top 10 nations and their estimated populations, according to Statista:
- China, 1.398.03 billion
- India, 1.391.89 billion
- US, 329.15 million
- Indonesia, 268.42 million
- Pakistan, 216.57 million
- Brazil, 209.33 million
- Nigeria, 200.96 million
- Bangladesh, 163.67 million
- Russia, 146.73 million
- Mexico, 126.58 million
What Is 1% of the World's Population?
The world's current population is estimated at 7.7 billion by the United Nations, so 1% of that would be 77 million.
What Is Population in Research?
The participants in a research study are referred to collectively as the population. If randomly selected, the results of the study may be viewed as representative of a larger population. For example, in a recent Gallup Poll, 57% of randomly selected 1,015 retirees said Social Security was a "major" source of their income. It can be concluded that most American retirees rely on Social Security, based on the responses of the population surveyed.
The minimum sample size for a meaningful study is 100, while a maximum is about 1,000.
Is Earth Overpopulated?
The issue of overpopulation has been debated since at least 1786, when economist Thomas Malthus published his theory that the growth of the population will always outpace the growth in the food supply. This theory is known as Malthusianism.
Malthus viewed the problem as an over-stretching of resources. Today's thinkers tend to give greater importance to the ethical and efficient distribution of resources.
In any case, population trends are complex and their results are subject to debate. The population of the Earth has indisputably risen dramatically in the past 70 years, from under three billion in 1950 to nearly eight billion now. But birth rates have declined sharply in developed nations during the same period.
The Bottom Line
Each of us is an individual component of many populations. In addition to being members of the human population of Earth and citizens of a nation, we are members of many sub-populations based on age, gender, income, health status, and many other factors.
When statisticians attempt to ascertain a fact or facts about any of those sub-populations, they typically rely on a sample population. These test subjects, selected at random, yield conclusions that are extended to the general population being studied.