What Is Symmetrical Distribution?
A symmetrical distribution occurs when the values of variables appear at regular frequencies and often the mean, median, and mode all occur at the same point. If a line were drawn dissecting the middle of the graph, it would reveal two sides that mirror one other.
In graphical form, symmetrical distributions may appear as a normal distribution (i.e., bell curve). Symmetrical distribution is a core concept in technical trading as the price action of an asset is assumed to fit a symmetrical distribution curve over time.
- A symmetrical distribution is one where splitting the data down the middle produces mirror images.
- Bell curves are a commonly-cited example of symmetrical distributions.
- Having a symmetrical distribution is useful for analyzing data and making inferences based on statistical techniques.
- In finance, data-generating processes with symmetrical distributions can help inform trading decisions.
- Real-world price data, however, tend to exhibit asymmetrical qualities such as right-skewness.
What Does a Symmetrical Distribution Tell You?
Symmetrical distributions are used by traders to establish the value area for a stock, currency, or commodity on a set time frame. This time frame is can be intraday, such as 30-minute intervals, or it can be longer-term using sessions or even weeks and months. A bell curve can be drawn around the price points hit during that time period and it is expected that most of the price action—approximately 68% of price points—will fall within one standard deviation of the center of the curve. The curve is applied to the y-axis (price) as it is the variable whereas time throughout the period is simply linear. So the area within one standard deviation of the mean is the value area where price and the actual value of the asset are most closely matched.
If the price action takes the asset price out of the value area, then it suggests that price and value are out of alignment. If the breach is to the bottom of the curve, the asset is considered to be undervalued. If it is to the top of the curve, the asset is to be overvalued. The assumption is that the asset will revert to the mean over time. When traders speak of reversion to the mean, they are referring to the symmetrical distribution of price action over time that fluctuates above and below the average level.
The central limit theorem states that the distribution of sample approximates a normal distribution (i.e., becomes symmetric) as the sample size becomes larger, regardless of the population distribution—including asymmetric ones.
An Example of How Symmetrical Distribution Is Used
Symmetrical distribution is most often used to put price action into context. The further the price action wanders from the value area one standard deviation on each side of the mean, the greater the probability that the underlying asset is being under or overvalued by the market. This observation will suggest potential trades to place based on how far the price action has wandered from the mean for the time period being used. On larger time scales, however, there is a much greater risk of missing the actual entry and exit points.
Symmetrical Distributions vs Asymmetrical Distributions
Opposite symmetrical distribution is asymmetrical distribution. A distribution is asymmetric if it is not symmetric with zero skewness; in other words, it does not skew. An asymmetric distribution is either left-skewed or right-skewed. A left-skewed distribution, which is known as a negative distribution, has a longer left tail. A right-skewed distribution, or a positively skewed distribution, has a longer right tail. Determining whether the mean is positive or negative is important when analyzing the skew of a data set because it affects data distribution analysis. A log-normal distribution is a commonly-cited asymmetrical distribution featuring right-skew.
Skewness is often an important component of a trader’s analysis of a potential investment return. A symmetric distribution of returns is evenly distributed around the mean. An asymmetric distribution with a positive right skew indicates that historical returns that deviated from the mean were primarily concentrated on the bell curve’s left side.
Conversely, a negative left skew shows historical returns deviating from the mean concentrated on the right side of the curve.
Limitations of Using Symmetrical Distributions
A common investment refrain is that past performance does not guarantee future results; however, past performance can illustrate patterns and provide insight for traders looking to make a decision about a position. Symmetrical distribution is a general rule of thumb, but no matter the time period used, there will often be periods of asymmetrical distribution on that time scale. This means that, although the bell curve will generally return to symmetry, there can be periods of asymmetry that establish a new mean for the curve to center on. This also means that trading based solely on the value area of a symmetrical distribution can be risky if the trades are not confirmed by other technical indicators.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the relationship between mean, median, and mode in a symmetrical distribution?
In a symmetrical distribution, all three of these descriptive statistics tend to be the same value, for instance in a normal distribution (bell curve). This also holds in other symmetric distributions such as the uniform distribution (where all values are identical; depicted simply as a horizontal line) or the binomial distribution, which accounts for discrete data that can only take on one of two values (e.g., zero or one, yes or no, true or false, etc.).
On rare occasions, a symmetric distribution may have two modes (neither of which are the mean or median), for instance in one that would appear like two identical hilltops equidistant from one another.
Is the median symmetric?
The median describes the point at which 50% of data values lie above, and 50% lie below. Thus it is the mid-point of the data. In a symmetric distribution, the median will always be the mid-point and create a mirror image with the median in the middle. This is not the case for an asymmetric distribution.
What is the shape of a frequency distribution?
The "shape" the frequency distribution of data is simply its graphical representation (e.g. as a bell curve, etc.). Visualizing the shape of the data can help analysts quickly understand if it is symmetrical or not.
What is symmetric vs. asymmetric data?
Symmetric data is observed when the values of variables appear at regular frequencies or intervals around the mean. Asymmetric data, on the other hand, may have skewness or noise such that the data appears at irregular or haphazard intervals.