What is the Trading Effect?
- Trading effect measures a portfolio manager's effectiveness by comparing their portfolio returns to that of a chosen benchmark.
- The trading effect answers the simple question of whether the portfolio manager (or investor) added value by actively managing the portfolio.
- The trading effect can also be used to determine whether active investing (trading) is better than passive investing (buy and hold).
Understanding Trading Effect
The trading effect is the difference in performance between an active investor's portfolio and a chosen benchmark. Active investing, takes a hands-on approach and requires that someone act in the role of portfolio manager. The aim is to see if the composition, including any alterations that were made during the observed period, of the investor's portfolio performed better or worse than the benchmark. The trading effect can also be used to determine whether active investing (trading) is better than passive investing (buy and hold).
The chosen benchmark has to have relevancy to the portfolio being measured and must be widely recognized and used. For example, the S&P 500 index would be an appropriate benchmark to measure an investor's portfolio that is predominantly comprised of equities, though it can also be used to gauge the performance of portfolios composed of other asset classes.
The trading effect serves as a way for investors to quantify a portfolio manager's performance. It answers the simple question of whether the manager (or investor) added value by making adjustments to the portfolio. If the benchmark, such as the Dow Jones Corporate Bond Index, outperforms the actively managed bond portfolio, then the portfolio manager subtracted value for the investor. If the bond portfolio earns more than the bond index, then the changes in portfolio composition have increased investor value, indicating a good management strategy.
Trading Effect and Bond Portfolios
Numerous and complex factors can influence bond portfolio returns. One reason for a lack of bond portfolio performance measures was that, prior to the 1970s, most bond portfolio managers followed buy-and-hold strategies, so their performance probably did not differ much. In this era, interest rates were relatively stable, so one could gain little from the active management of bond portfolios. The environment in the bond market changed considerably in the late 1970s and 1980s, when interest rates increased dramatically and became more volatile.
Although the techniques for evaluating stock portfolio performance have been in existence for almost 40 years, comparable techniques for examining bond portfolio performance were initiated more recently, when the bond market changed considerably because of a dramatic increase in interest rates and volatility.
This change created an incentive to trade bonds, and this trend toward active management led to more dispersed performances by bond portfolio managers. This dispersion in performance, in turn, created a demand for techniques that would help investors evaluate the performance of bond portfolio managers. The evaluation models for bonds typically consider the overall market factors and the impact of individual bond selection.
This technique for measuring trading effect breaks down the return based on the bond's duration as a comprehensive risk measure, but it does not consider differences in the risk of default. Specifically, the technique does not differentiate between an AAA bond with duration of eight years and a BBB bond with the same duration, which could clearly affect the performance. A portfolio manager that invested in BBB bonds, for example, could experience a very positive analysis effect simply because the bonds were of lower quality.