What is Trend Trading?
Trend trading is a trading style that attempts to capture gains through the analysis of an asset's momentum in a particular direction. When the price is moving in one overall direction, such as up or down, that is called a trend. Trend traders enter into a long position when a security is trending upward. An uptrend is characterized by higher swing lows and higher swing highs. Trend traders may opt to enter a short position when an asset is trending lower. A downtrend is characterized by lower swing lows and lower swing highs.
How Trend Trading Works
Trend trading strategies assume that a security will continue to move in the same direction it is currently trending. Such strategies often contain a take-profit or stop-loss provision in order to lock in a profit or avoid big losses if a trend reversal occurs. Trend trading is used by short-, intermediate-, and long-term traders.
Traders use both price action and other technical tools to determine the trend direction, and when it may be shifting.
Price action traders look at the price movements on a chart. For an uptrend, they want to see the price move above recent highs, and when the price drops it should stay above prior swing lows. This shows that even though the price is oscillating up and down, the overall trajectory is up.
The same concept is applied to downtrends, with traders watching to see if the price makes overall lower lows and lower highs. When that is no longer happening, the downtrend is in question or over, and therefore the trend trader will no longer be interested in holding a short position.
- Trend trading is a method of trading designed to take advantage of uptrends where the price tends to make new highs or downtrends where the price tends to make new lows.
- An uptrend is a series of higher swing highs and higher swing lows. A downtrend is a series of lower swing highs and lower swing lows.
- In addition to looking at swing highs and lows, trend traders utilize other tools like trendlines, moving averages, and technical indicators to help identify the trend direction and potentially provide trade signals.
Trend Trading Strategies
There are many different trend trading strategies using a variety of indicators and price action methods. For all strategies, a stop loss should be used to manage risk. For an utprend, a stop loss is placed below a swing low that occurred prior to entry, or below another support level. For a downtrend and a short position, a stop loss is often placed just above a prior swing high or above another resistance level.
Moving Averages: These strategies involve entering a long position when a short-term moving average crosses above a longer-term moving average, or entering a short position when a short-term moving average crosses below a longer-term moving average. Alternatively, some traders may watch for when the price crosses above a moving average to signal a long position, or when the price crosses below the average to signal a short position.
Typically moving average strategies are combined with some other form of technical analysis to filter out the signals. This may include looking at price action to determine the trend, since moving averages provide very poor signals when no trend is present; the price just whipsaws back and forth across the moving average.
Moving averages are also used for analysis. When the price is above a moving average it helps to indicate that an uptrend may be present. When the price is below the moving average it helps to indicate that a downtrend may present.
Momentum Indicators: There are many momentum indicators and strategies. In regards to trend trading, an example might include looking for an uptrend, and then using the relative strength index (RSI) to signal entries and exits. For example, a trader may wait for the RSI to drop below 30 and then rise above it. This could signal a long position, assuming the overall uptrend remains intact. The indicator is showing that the price pulled back but is now starting to rise again in alignment with the overall uptrend.
The trader could potentially exit when RSI rises above 70 or 80 and then falls back below the selected level.
Trendlines & Chart Patterns: A trendline is a line drawn along swing lows in an uptrend, or along swing highs in a downtrend. It shows a possible area where the price may pull back to in the future. Some traders opt to buy during an uptrend when the price pulls back to, and then bounces higher off of, a rising trendline. Similarly, some traders opt to short during a downtrend when the price rises to, and then falls away from, a declining trendline.
Trend traders will also watch for chart patterns, such as flags or triangles which indicate the potential continuation of a trend. For example, if the price is rising aggressively and then forms a flag or triangle, a trend trader will watch for the price to break out of the pattern to signal a continuation of the uptrend.
Often times, traders use a combination of these strategies when looking for trend trading opportunities. A trader might look for a breakout through a resistance level to indicate a move higher may be starting, but only enter into a trade if the price is trading above a specific moving average.
Trend Trading Chart Example
The following Alibaba Group (BABA) chart shows several examples of how trends can be analyzed, as well as some examples of potential trades using chart patterns and the trend.
The price starts out in a downtrend. The price then rises through the descending trendline and above the moving average. This doesn't mean the trend is up, though. trend traders will typically wait for the price to also make a higher swing high and a higher swing low before considering the trend up.
The price continues to move higher confirming the new uptrend. The price pulls back and then starts to rise again forming the first chart pattern. The price breaks higher out of the chart pattern, signaling a potential long position.
The uptrend continues aggressively, forming two additional chart patterns along the way. These both offered opportunities to enter a long position or add to an existing one (called pyramiding).
The price continues to rise, but then starts giving warning signs. The price drops below the moving average for the first time in a long while, it also creates a lower swing low and breaks through a short-term rising trendline. The price makes a new high after that, but then drops below the moving average again. This is not strong uptrend behavior, and trend traders would typically avoid going long during conditions like this. They would also be looking to exit any remaining longs they may have.
The price continues to oscillate around the moving average, with no clear trend direction. Finally, the price slides into a downtrend. Trend traders would be out of longs and avoiding new ones, and possibly looking for spots to enter short positions.