What Is Underpricing?
Underpricing is the practice of listing an initial public offering (IPO) at a price below its real value in the stock market. When a new stock closes its first day of trading above the set IPO price, the stock is considered to have been underpriced.
Underpricing is short-lived because investor demand will drive the price upwards to its market value.
An initial public offering (IPO) is the introduction of a new stock for public trading on a stock exchange. Its purpose is to raise capital for the future growth of the company.
Determining the offering price requires a consideration of many factors. Quantitative factors are considered first. Those are the numbers, real and projected, on cash flow.
- An IPO may be underpriced deliberately in order to boost demand and encourage investors to take a risk on a new company.
- It may be underpriced accidentally because its underwriters underestimated the demand in the market for this company's stock.
- In any case, the IPO is considered underpriced by the difference between its first-day closing price and its set IPO price.
Nevertheless, there are two opposing goals at play. The company's executives and early investors want to price the shares as high as possible in order to raise the most capital and reward themselves most lavishly. The investment bankers who are advising them may hope to keep the price low in order to sell as many shares as possible since higher volume means higher trading fees for them.
IPO Pricing Factors
IPO pricing is far from an exact science, so underpricing an IPO is equally inexact. The process mixes facts, projections, and comparables:
- Quantitative factors considered include the company's financials including its current sales, expenses, earnings, and cash flow. Projected earnings also are factored in.
- An IPO price that reflects a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple comparable to the company's industry peers is sought.
- The size of the current and near-future market for the product or service that the company produces is considered.
- The marketability of the company's stock in the current economic environment also is crucial.
In theory, any IPO that increases in price on its first day of trading was underpriced, whether it was deliberate or accidental. The shares may have been deliberately underpriced to boost demand. Or, the IPO underwriters may have underestimated investor demand.
Overpricing is much worse than underpricing. A stock that closes its first day below its IPO price will be labeled a failure.
An IPO can be underpriced if its sponsors are genuinely uncertain about the reception that the stock will receive. After all, in the worst case, the stock price will immediately climb to the price that investors consider that it's worth. Investors willing to take a risk on a new issue are rewarded. The company's executives are pleased.
That is considerably better than the company's stock price falling on its first day and its IPO being blasted as a failure.
Whether it was underpriced or not, once the IPO debuts the company becomes a publicly traded entity owned by its shareholders. Shareholder demand will determine the stock’s value in the open market going forward.