Mortgage rates declined significantly for a second day Friday, with the 30-year average shedding more than four-tenths of a percentage point over two days to land at its lowest level since early June.
|National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates|
|FHA 30-Year Fixed||5.34%||5.78%|
|Jumbo 30-Year Fixed||4.94%||5.03%|
Today's National Mortgage Rate Averages
After rising to re-enter 6% territory early last week, 30-year rates dramatically reversed course to end the week. A 20-basis point drop Friday followed a 21-point decline Thursday to lower the flagship average to 5.60%, its lowest level since June 8. Three weeks ago, the 30-year average registered a 14-year peak of 6.38%.
The 15-year average dropped even more substantially across Thursday and Friday, plummeting below the 5% threshold. The two-day decline of 46 basis points took the 15-year average to 4.81%. Like 30-year loans, 15-year rates reached their highest level since 2008 three weeks ago, when they touched 5.41%.
Meanwhile, Jumbo 30-year rates dropped 13 basis points Friday, landing at 4.94%. It's the first time since early June that Jumbo 30-year rates have averaged below 5%.
After a major rate dip last summer, mortgage rates have since skyrocketed, with the 30-year average peaking in mid-June by an eye-popping 3.49 percentage points above its August 2021 low of 2.89%.
Meanwhile, mid-June saw the 15-year and Jumbo 30-year averages shoot 3.21 and 2.38 percentage points higher, respectively, than their summer 2021 valleys.
Refinancing averages moved somewhat similarly Friday, with the 30-year refi average shedding 17 basis points, the 15-year average losing a notable 26 points, and Jumbo 30-year refi rates dropping an eighth of a percentage point. The cost to refinance with a fixed-rate loan is currently eight to 44 points more expensive than new purchase loans.
The rates you see here generally won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online, since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive. They may involve paying points in advance, or may be selected based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or taking a smaller-than-typical loan given the value of the home.
|National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - New Purchase|
|Loan Type||New Purchase||Daily Change|
|FHA 30-Year Fixed||5.34%||-0.33|
|VA 30-Year Fixed||5.40%||-0.26|
|Jumbo 30-Year Fixed||4.94%||-0.13|
|Jumbo 15-Year Fixed||4.82%||-0.12|
|Jumbo 7/1 ARM||4.17%||-0.16|
|Jumbo 7/6 ARM||4.61%||-0.13|
|Jumbo 5/1 ARM||4.11%||-0.15|
|Jumbo 5/6 ARM||4.48%||-0.25|
|National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - Refinance|
|Loan Type||Refinance||Daily Change|
|FHA 30-Year Fixed||5.78%||-0.25|
|VA 30-Year Fixed||6.00%||-0.26|
|Jumbo 30-Year Fixed||5.03%||-0.12|
|Jumbo 15-Year Fixed||4.90%||-0.12|
|Jumbo 7/1 ARM||4.39%||-0.17|
|Jumbo 7/6 ARM||4.79%||-0.13|
|Jumbo 5/1 ARM||4.37%||-0.16|
|Jumbo 5/6 ARM||4.56%||-0.25|
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Lowest Mortgage Rates by State
The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan term, and size, as well as individual lenders' varying risk management strategies.
What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?
Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as the level and direction of the bond market, including 10-year Treasury yields; the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy, especially as it relates to funding government-backed mortgages; and competition between lenders and across loan types. Because fluctuations can be caused by any number of these at once, it's generally difficult to attribute the change to any one factor.
Macroeconomic factors have kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of this year. In particular, the Federal Reserve has been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic's economic pressures, and continues to do so. This bond-buying policy (and not the more publicized federal funds rate) is a major influencer on mortgage rates.
On May 4, the Fed announced that it will begin reducing its balance sheet on June 1. Identical sizable reductions will occur in June, July, and August, and then be doubled beginning in September. This will be on top of its existing move to reduce new bond purchases by an increment every month, the so-called taper, which began in November.
The Fed's rate and policy committee, called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), meets every 6-8 weeks. Their next scheduled meeting takes place July 26-27.
The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700-760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.
For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700-760.