Today's Mortgage Rates & Trends - March 17, 2022: Rates rocket up

Mortgage rates surge again, with 30-year average hitting new 3-year high

Building on an already dramatic ascent, mortgage rates surged again Wednesday, taking the 30-year average up another eighth of a point, and up 35 basis points in the past week.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates
Loan Type Purchase Refinance
30-Year Fixed 4.66% 4.73%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 4.55% 4.62%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 4.23% 4.07%
15-Year Fixed 3.90% 3.97%
5/1 ARM 3.71% 3.77%
National averages of the lowest rates offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, with a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80%, an applicant with a FICO credit score of 700-760, and no mortgage points.
2022.03.17 mort ranges

Today's National Mortgage Rate Averages

Mortgage rates jumped again Wednesday, with the 30-year average boldly adding another 12 basis points Wednesday, reaching 4.66%. The average has climbed more than 60 basis points in the last ten days, and is the priciest it's been since the first week of March 2019.

Rates on 15-year loans climbed similarly Wednesday, ascending 11 points to 3.90%, which is a level not seen since the average's early pandemic spike on April 1, 2020.

Meanwhile, Jumbo 30-year rates rose a lesser six points Wednesday. The current 4.22% average is still lower than the peak experienced at the outset of the pandemic, but is the highest reading since July 2020.

All three averages have surged over the last six months, taking them far above the lows notched last summer, when a major dip dramatically sank rates. The 30-year average is currently 1.77 percentage points more expensive than the August valley, while the 15-year and Jumbo 30-year averages are up 1.69 and 1.16, respectively.

Refinance rates mostly climbed Wednesday as well, with the 30-year refi average rising nine points and the 15-year jumping 12 points, while Jumbo 30-year refi rates remained flat. The cost to refinance with a fixed-rate loan is currently up to seven points higher than new purchase loans.

Important:

The rates you see here generally won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online, since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive. They may involve paying points in advance, or may be selected based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or taking a smaller-than-typical loan given the value of the home.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - New Purchase
Loan Type New Purchase Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 4.66% +0.12
FHA 30-Year Fixed 4.55% +0.09
VA 30-Year Fixed 4.71% -0.03
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 4.22% +0.06
20-Year Fixed 4.54% +0.10
15-Year Fixed 3.90% +0.11
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 3.69% No Change
10-Year Fixed 3.87% +0.12
10/1 ARM 3.88% +0.13
10/6 ARM 4.73% -0.05
7/1 ARM 3.86% +0.13
Jumbo 7/1 ARM 3.66% +0.14
7/6 ARM 4.73% +0.17
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 3.39% +0.12
5/1 ARM 3.71% +0.14
Jumbo 5/1 ARM 3.51% +0.13
5/6 ARM 4.63% +0.09
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 3.36% No Change
National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - Refinance
Loan Type Refinance Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 4.73% +0.09
FHA 30-Year Fixed 4.62% -0.05
VA 30-Year Fixed 4.74% -0.06
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 4.07% No Change
20-Year Fixed 4.64% +0.13
15-Year Fixed 3.97% +0.12
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 3.77% No Change
10-Year Fixed 3.94% +0.12
10/1 ARM 3.95% +0.14
10/6 ARM 4.83% +0.08
7/1 ARM 3.92% +0.13
Jumbo 7/1 ARM 3.71% +0.14
7/6 ARM 4.77% +0.15
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 3.57% +0.12
5/1 ARM 3.77% +0.14
Jumbo 5/1 ARM 3.56% +0.14
5/6 ARM 4.65% +0.06
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 3.44% No Change

Calculate monthly payments for different loan scenarios with our Mortgage Calculator.

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Lowest Mortgage Rates by State

The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan term, and size, as well as individual lenders' varying risk management strategies.

These rates are surveyed directly from over 200 top lenders.

What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?

Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as the level and direction of the bond market, including 10-year Treasury yields; the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy, especially as it relates to funding government-backed mortgages; and competition between lenders and across loan types. Because fluctuations can be caused by any number of these at once, it's generally difficult to attribute the change to any one factor.

Macroeconomic factors have kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of this year. In particular, the Federal Reserve has been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic's economic pressures, and continues to do so. This bond-buying policy (and not the more publicized federal funds rate) is a major influencer on mortgage rates.

On Jan. 26, the Fed announced that, in light of stronger and more persistent inflation pressure than originally expected, it is sticking to its plan to speed up the timeline for throttling Fed bond buying, reducing the amount they purchase by a large increment each month. This so-called taper began in late November.

The Fed's rate and policy committee, called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), meets every 6-8 weeks. Their next scheduled meeting will be held March 15-16.

Methodology

The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700-760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.

For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700-760.