Today's Mortgage Rates & Trends - March 23, 2022: Rates jump again

Rates continue their surge, taking 30-year average to a peak not seen since 2018

Having already surged the past two weeks, mortgage rates skyrocketed higher still on Tuesday, with some averages adding as much as two-tenths of a point across the day. The 30-year average is now at its highest level since late 2018.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates
Loan Type Purchase Refinance
30-Year Fixed 4.90% 4.99%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 4.71% 4.87%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 4.48% 4.32%
15-Year Fixed 4.12% 4.22%
5/1 ARM 3.89% 3.95%
National averages of the lowest rates offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, with a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80%, an applicant with a FICO credit score of 700-760, and no mortgage points.
2022.03.23 mort ranges

Today's National Mortgage Rate Averages

It's only been six weeks since the 30-year mortgage average breached the 4% mark, but with another big gain Tuesday, the average is now flirting with the 5% bar. The flagship average bolted 18 basis points higher yesterday, elevating the average to 4.90%, a level not seen since mid-December 2018.

Rates on 15-year loans also jumped Tuesday, rising a full two-tenths of a percentage point to easily surpass the 4% threshold. At 4.12%, the 15-year average has reached levels last registered in April 2019.

Jumbo 30-year rates surged as well, adding 13 points to 4.48%. The current average is still below the peak experienced at the outset of the pandemic, but is in its highest territory since June 2020.

All three averages have rocketed higher over the last seven months, taking them far above the lows notched last summer, when a major dip dramatically sank rates. The 30-year average is currently an eye-popping 2.01 percentage points more expensive than the August low point, while the 15-year and Jumbo 30-year averages are up 1.91 and 1.42, respectively.

Refinance rates moved similarly Tuesday, with the 30-year and 15-year refi averages both climbing 21 points, and Jumbo 30-year rates bumping 12 points up. The cost to refinance with a fixed-rate loan is currently up to 16 points more expensive than new purchase loans.

Important:

The rates you see here generally won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online, since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive. They may involve paying points in advance, or may be selected based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or taking a smaller-than-typical loan given the value of the home.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - New Purchase
Loan Type New Purchase Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 4.90% +0.18
FHA 30-Year Fixed 4.71% +0.14
VA 30-Year Fixed 5.01% +0.30
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 4.48% +0.13
20-Year Fixed 4.88% +0.27
15-Year Fixed 4.12% +0.20
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 4.07% +0.13
10-Year Fixed 4.07% +0.18
10/1 ARM 4.06% +0.16
10/6 ARM 5.01% +0.04
7/1 ARM 4.05% +0.17
Jumbo 7/1 ARM 3.84% +0.16
7/6 ARM 5.01% +0.11
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 3.64% +0.12
5/1 ARM 3.89% +0.17
Jumbo 5/1 ARM 3.69% +0.17
5/6 ARM 5.10% +0.31
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 3.73% +0.25
National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - Refinance
Loan Type Refinance Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 4.99% +0.21
FHA 30-Year Fixed 4.87% +0.24
VA 30-Year Fixed 5.10% +0.32
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 4.32% +0.12
20-Year Fixed 5.00% +0.30
15-Year Fixed 4.22% +0.21
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 4.15% +0.13
10-Year Fixed 4.18% +0.20
10/1 ARM 4.11% +0.17
10/6 ARM 5.08% +0.14
7/1 ARM 4.09% +0.17
Jumbo 7/1 ARM 3.89% +0.17
7/6 ARM 5.11% +0.15
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 3.82% +0.12
5/1 ARM 3.95% +0.17
Jumbo 5/1 ARM 3.74% +0.16
5/6 ARM 5.12% +0.31
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 3.81% +0.25

Calculate monthly payments for different loan scenarios with our Mortgage Calculator.

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Lowest Mortgage Rates by State

The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan term, and size, as well as individual lenders' varying risk management strategies.

These rates are surveyed directly from over 200 top lenders.

What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?

Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as the level and direction of the bond market, including 10-year Treasury yields; the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy, especially as it relates to funding government-backed mortgages; and competition between lenders and across loan types. Because fluctuations can be caused by any number of these at once, it's generally difficult to attribute the change to any one factor.

Macroeconomic factors have kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of this year. In particular, the Federal Reserve has been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic's economic pressures, and continues to do so. This bond-buying policy (and not the more publicized federal funds rate) is a major influencer on mortgage rates.

On March 16, the Fed announced that it expects to begin reducing its balance sheet in May, meaning it will start reducing the overall amount of bonds it owns. This will be on top of its existing move to reduce new bond purchases by an increment every month, the so-called taper, which began in November.

The Fed's rate and policy committee, called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), meets every 6-8 weeks. Their next scheduled meeting will be held May 3-4.

Methodology

The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700-760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.

For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700-760.