Today's Mortgage Rates & Trends - March 9, 2022: Rates surge

30-year average jumps to highest level in almost three years

Mortgage rates registered another dramatic increase Tuesday, with the 30-year average rising almost a quarter of a percentage point in two days and setting a new multi-year high.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates
Loan Type Purchase Refinance
30-Year Fixed 4.29% 4.36%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 4.26% 4.43%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 3.92% 3.92%
15-Year Fixed 3.48% 3.57%
5/1 ARM 3.24% 3.29%
National averages of the lowest rates offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, with a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80%, an applicant with a FICO credit score of 700-760, and no mortgage points.
2022.03.09 ranges

Today's National Mortgage Rate Averages

Mortgage rates bolted upwards again Tuesday, with the flagship 30-year average jumping 15 basis points to 4.29%. That takes it above its recent peak of 4.28%, clocked on Feb. 23, and to its highest level since May 2019.

Meanwhile, rates on 15-year loans climbed a tenth of a point, hitting 3.48% Tuesday. That leaves the average just a point shy of its recent multi-year high of 3.49%.

Jumbo 30-year rates showed a lesser increase Tuesday, though still an ascent of eight basis points to 3.92%. The Jumbo average has generally shown less movement this year than the 30-year and 15-year averages, but has still added 45 points point over its 2021 high.

All three mortgage types have become much pricier since a major August dip sank rates to five-month lows. The 30-year average is currently 1.40 percentage points more expensive than the August trough, while the 15-year and Jumbo 30-year averages are up 1.27 and 0.86, respectively.

Refinance rates behaved somewhat similarly Tuesday, with the 30-year, 15-year, and Jumbo 30-year refi averages all up about an eighth of a percentage point. The cost to refinance with a fixed-rate loan is currently up to 17 points more expensive than new purchase loans.

Important:

The rates you see here generally won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online, since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive. They may involve paying points in advance, or may be selected based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or taking a smaller-than-typical loan given the value of the home.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - New Purchase
Loan Type New Purchase Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 4.29% +0.15
FHA 30-Year Fixed 4.26% +0.22
VA 30-Year Fixed 4.70% +0.33
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 3.92% +0.08
20-Year Fixed 4.05% +0.16
15-Year Fixed 3.48% +0.10
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 3.44% No Change
10-Year Fixed 3.37% +0.07
10/1 ARM 3.41% +0.05
10/6 ARM 4.42% +0.03
7/1 ARM 3.40% +0.05
Jumbo 7/1 ARM 3.19% +0.05
7/6 ARM 4.50% +0.22
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 3.15% +0.13
5/1 ARM 3.24% +0.05
Jumbo 5/1 ARM 3.04% +0.05
5/6 ARM 4.38% No Change
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 3.11% No Change
National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - Refinance
Loan Type Refinance Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 4.36% +0.12
FHA 30-Year Fixed 4.43% +0.25
VA 30-Year Fixed 4.90% +0.24
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 3.92% +0.12
20-Year Fixed 4.17% +0.20
15-Year Fixed 3.57% +0.11
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 3.62% No Change
10-Year Fixed 3.46% +0.09
10/1 ARM 3.46% +0.05
10/6 ARM 4.40% +0.02
7/1 ARM 3.44% +0.05
Jumbo 7/1 ARM 3.24% +0.05
7/6 ARM 4.71% +0.25
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 3.42% +0.12
5/1 ARM 3.29% +0.05
Jumbo 5/1 ARM 3.09% +0.05
5/6 ARM 4.37% -0.02
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 3.29% No Change

Calculate monthly payments for different loan scenarios with our Mortgage Calculator.

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Lowest Mortgage Rates by State

The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan term, and size, as well as individual lenders' varying risk management strategies.

These rates are surveyed directly from over 200 top lenders.

What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?

Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as the level and direction of the bond market, including 10-year Treasury yields; the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy, especially as it relates to funding government-backed mortgages; and competition between lenders and across loan types. Because fluctuations can be caused by any number of these at once, it's generally difficult to attribute the change to any one factor.

Macroeconomic factors have kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of this year. In particular, the Federal Reserve has been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic's economic pressures, and continues to do so. This bond-buying policy (and not the more publicized federal funds rate) is a major influencer on mortgage rates.

On Jan. 26, the Fed announced that, in light of stronger and more persistent inflation pressure than originally expected, it is sticking to its plan to speed up the timeline for throttling Fed bond buying, reducing the amount they purchase by a large increment each month. This so-called taper began in late November.

The Fed's rate and policy committee, called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), meets every 6-8 weeks. Their next scheduled meeting will be held March 15-16.

Methodology

The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700-760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.

For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700-760.