Today's Mortgage Rates & Trends - November 30, 2022: Rates jump

Rate dip was brief for 30-year average, which has shot back up to near 7%

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Rates on 30-year loans jumped almost a quarter percentage point Tuesday, erasing their comparable drop the day before. The increase brings the flagship average back within striking distance of the 7% mark.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates
Loan Type Purchase Refinance
30-Year Fixed 6.97% 7.35%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 6.98% 7.43%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.02% 6.03%
15-Year Fixed 6.14% 6.50%
5/6 ARM 6.98% 7.06%
National averages of the lowest rates offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, with a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80%, an applicant with a FICO credit score of 700–760, and no mortgage points.
2022.11.29

Today's National Mortgage Rate Averages

After subtracting 22 basis points to start the week, the 30-year average reversed course Tuesday to jump 24 points, reaching to 6.97%. Rates on 30-year loans are currently about six-tenths of a percentage point below last month's 20-year high of 7.58%.

Rates on 15-year mortgages climbed more moderately Tuesday. Adding eight basis points, the 15-year average is now 6.14% which is almost 90 basis points cheaper than October's peak of 7.03%, its highest level in 15 years.

After holding steady for almost a week, Jumbo 30-year rates finally showed movement, adding an eighth of a point Tuesday. Now averaging 6.02%, Jumbo 30-year rates are only a quarter percentage point below the 6.27% reading last month, which was its most expensive level since 2010.

Tuesday's refinancing rates moved somewhat similarly relative to new purchase rates, with the 30-year refi average rising 14 basis points, the 15-year average adding 12 points, and Jumbo 30-year refi rates gaining an eighth of a point. The cost to refinance with a fixed-rate loan is currently up to 54 basis points more expensive than new purchase rates.

After a historical rate plunge in August 2021, mortgage rates skyrocketed in the first half of this year. Indeed, the 30-year average's mid-June peak of 6.38% was almost 3.5 percentage points above its summer 2021 trough of 2.89%. But the surge this fall dramatically outdid the summer high, with late October's 30-year average reaching 1.2 percentage points higher than the June peak.

The rates you see here generally won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online, since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive. They may involve paying points in advance, or they may be selected based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or taking a smaller-than-typical loan given the value of the home.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - New Purchase
New Purchase Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 6.97% +0.24
FHA 30-Year Fixed 6.98% +0.05
VA 30-Year Fixed 7.00% +0.11
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.02% +0.12
20-Year Fixed 6.52% +0.21
15-Year Fixed 6.14% +0.08
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 6.15% +0.13
10-Year Fixed 6.10% +0.08
10/6 ARM 6.80% -0.04
7/6 ARM 6.89% -0.01
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 5.85% +0.12
5/6 ARM 6.98% -0.02
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 5.81% No change
National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - Refinance
Loan Type Refinance Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 7.35% +0.14
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.43% +0.11
VA 30-Year Fixed 7.41% +0.04
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.03% +0.13
20-Year Fixed 7.06% +0.25
15-Year Fixed 6.50% +0.12
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 6.15% +0.12
10-Year Fixed 6.43% +0.07
10/6 ARM 6.97% -0.02
7/6 ARM 7.00% -0.02
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 5.94% +0.13
5/6 ARM 7.06% -0.03
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 5.82% No change

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Lowest Mortgage Rates by State

The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan term, and size, in addition to individual lenders' varying risk management strategies.

What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?

Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as the level and direction of the bond market, including 10-year Treasury yields; the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy, especially as it relates to funding government-backed mortgages; and competition between lenders and across loan types. Because fluctuations can be caused by any number of these at once, it's generally difficult to attribute the change to any one factor.

Macroeconomic factors have kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of this year. In particular, the Federal Reserve has been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic's economic pressures, and it continues to do so. This bond-buying policy (and not the more publicized federal funds rate) is a major influencer on mortgage rates.

Since June, the Fed has been reducing its balance sheet. Identical sizable reductions occurred monthly through the summer and are being accelerated in September. This is on top of its plan to reduce new bond purchases by an increment every month, the so-called taper, which began in November.

The Fed's rate and policy committee, called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), meets every six to eight weeks. Their next scheduled meeting takes place November 1-2.

Methodology

The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700–760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.

For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700–760.