Today's Mortgage Rates & Trends - November 8, 2022: Rates flat

30-year average holds steady, two-tenths of a point below 20-year high


The 30-year average moved just a basis point Monday, resulting in a two-day drop of a tenth of a point. The average currently sits 19 basis points below the 20-year high notched two weeks ago.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates
Loan Type Purchase Refinance
30-Year Fixed 7.39% 7.75%
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.33% 7.57%
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.15% 6.15%
15-Year Fixed 6.72% 6.95%
5/6 ARM 6.98% 7.03%
National averages of the lowest rates offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, with a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80%, an applicant with a FICO credit score of 700–760, and no mortgage points.

Today's National Mortgage Rate Averages

The 30-year average dipped for a second day Monday, but by just a basis point. Now averaging 7.39%, 30-year rates are holding in a range about two-tenths of a point below the 7.58% average they registered October 23, which was its highest reading since early 2002.

Rates on 15-year loans saw a bigger drop Monday, subtracting 11 basis points to average 6.72%. The 15-year average is now almost a third of a percentage point under its recent peak, which at 7.03% was its highest level in 15 years.

Jumbo 30-year rates marked time for a second day Monday, holding at 6.15%. Jumbo 30-year rates recently hit their highest point since 2010, when they averaged 6.27%.

Monday's refinancing rates moved very similarly to new purchase rates, with the 30-year refi average shedding only one basis point, the 15-year average declining seven points, and Jumbo 30-year refi rates remaining flat for a second day. The current cost to refinance with a fixed-rate loan is up to 45 basis points more expensive than new purchase rates.

After a historical rate plunge in August 2021, mortgage rates skyrocketed in the first half of this year. Indeed, the 30-year average's mid-June peak of 6.38% was almost 3.5 percentage points above its summer 2021 trough of 2.89%. But the surge this fall has dramatically outdone the summer peak, with the 30-year average having reached 1.2 percentage points above June's high.

The rates you see here generally won’t compare directly with teaser rates you see advertised online, since those rates are cherry-picked as the most attractive. They may involve paying points in advance, or they may be selected based on a hypothetical borrower with an ultra-high credit score or taking a smaller-than-typical loan given the value of the home.

National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - New Purchase
New Purchase Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 7.39% -0.01
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.33% -0.05
VA 30-Year Fixed 7.46% -0.13
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.15% No change
20-Year Fixed 7.37% -0.04
15-Year Fixed 6.72% -0.11
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 6.27% No change
10-Year Fixed 6.78% -0.11
10/6 ARM 7.22% -0.24
7/6 ARM 7.20% -0.14
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 6.10% No change
5/6 ARM 6.98% No change
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 6.06% No change
National Averages of Lenders' Best Rates - Refinance
Loan Type Refinance Daily Change
30-Year Fixed 7.75% -0.01
FHA 30-Year Fixed 7.57% -0.04
VA 30-Year Fixed 7.75% -0.01
Jumbo 30-Year Fixed 6.15% No change
20-Year Fixed 7.82% +0.02
15-Year Fixed 6.95% -0.07
Jumbo 15-Year Fixed 6.28% No change
10-Year Fixed 7.01% -0.02
10/6 ARM 7.47% -0.13
7/6 ARM 7.19% -0.33
Jumbo 7/6 ARM 6.19% No change
5/6 ARM 7.03% -0.02
Jumbo 5/6 ARM 6.07% No change

Calculate monthly payments for different loan scenarios with our Mortgage Calculator.

Lowest Mortgage Rates by State

The lowest mortgage rates available vary depending on the state where originations occur. Mortgage rates can be influenced by state-level variations in credit score, average mortgage loan term, and size, in addition to individual lenders' varying risk management strategies.

What Causes Mortgage Rates to Rise or Fall?

Mortgage rates are determined by a complex interaction of macroeconomic and industry factors, such as the level and direction of the bond market, including 10-year Treasury yields; the Federal Reserve's current monetary policy, especially as it relates to funding government-backed mortgages; and competition between lenders and across loan types. Because fluctuations can be caused by any number of these at once, it's generally difficult to attribute the change to any one factor.

Macroeconomic factors have kept the mortgage market relatively low for much of this year. In particular, the Federal Reserve has been buying billions of dollars of bonds in response to the pandemic's economic pressures, and it continues to do so. This bond-buying policy (and not the more publicized federal funds rate) is a major influencer on mortgage rates.

Since June, the Fed has been reducing its balance sheet. Identical sizable reductions occurred monthly through the summer and are being accelerated in September. This is on top of its plan to reduce new bond purchases by an increment every month, the so-called taper, which began in November.

The Fed's rate and policy committee, called the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), meets every six to eight weeks. Their next scheduled meeting takes place November 1-2.


The national averages cited above were calculated based on the lowest rate offered by more than 200 of the country's top lenders, assuming a loan-to-value ratio (LTV) of 80% and an applicant with a FICO credit score in the 700–760 range. The resulting rates are representative of what customers should expect to see when receiving actual quotes from lenders based on their qualifications, which may vary from advertised teaser rates.

For our map of the best state rates, the lowest rate currently offered by a surveyed lender in that state is listed, assuming the same parameters of an 80% LTV and a credit score between 700–760.